EpicSki › The Barking Bear Forums › On the Snow (Skiing Forums) › General Skiing Discussion › Bless you Joe Bastardi - 09-10 winter forecast is a boon for skiers in the East and West!
New Posts  All Forums:Forum Nav:

Bless you Joe Bastardi - 09-10 winter forecast is a boon for skiers in the East and West! - Page 3

post #61 of 82
Heck, I don't actually want to buy this year's Farmers' Almanac, but I'm sure curious about what it really says.  The cite from my post above says:  "This winter, the 200-page publication says it'll be cool and snowy in the Northeast, bitterly cold and dry in the Great Lakes states, and cold and snowy across the North Central states."

That sure sounds different from your cite: "... central parts of North America, including the Great Lakes .... will be cold and snowy.  ...  "East Coast skiers may be in for a less than stellar year." 

Maybe the Almanac is bipolar...  

 
 
post #62 of 82
Thread Starter 
It also says "as usual Colorado will be king". Huh? Don't get me wrong, I love Colorado resorts, But their average snowfall totals pale in comparison to Tahoe and Utah. The alamanac's approach to forecasting is relatively safe. They don't go too much farther out on the limb than forecasting that there will be periodic snowstorms in winter,
post #63 of 82
Quote:
Originally Posted by therusty View Post

Well, just when my golfin' bones had noticed the cool summer and I started to dream about a colder winter to come, along comes Joe with this forecast . Whoo baby are we gonna sell some season passes this year!


Edited by therusty - 7/15/2009 at 08:59 pm GMT




Quote:
Originally Posted by sibhusky View Post

 So, basically, maybe it's a good thing that there's no planned ESA in Big Sky this year:

What happened to this forecast?
Is it a lost cause or am I just a bit too impatient?
post #64 of 82
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trekchick View Post







What happened to this forecast?
Is it a lost cause or am I just a bit too impatient?
 

Winter doesn't even begin until December 21, 2009. I believe Joe Bastardi made a comment that the East Coast cold and snow wouldn't kick in until late Dec/early Jan, and up to that time the cold would be in the West. I also believe he said the East would stay cold/snowy well into the Spring. So, don't give up yet!
post #65 of 82
The usual Colorado and Cottonwood Canyon ski areas opened about when the usually do. Big Sky snow is going to be about normal for a Thanksgiving opening.
And in Memphis we're still waiting for our first frost about a month later than usual!
post #66 of 82
These guys can't get this afternoon's weather right, yet some are willing to believe a long term forecast. FWIW, get a farmer's almanac and have at it.
post #67 of 82
So how does this relate to the fact that Whistler has gotten 11+ feet of snow so far ?

We're waiting until the next couple of weeks to see if we finally get what's coming to us....

Going to put the new snow tires on tomorrow, headed to VT Saturday to bring the ski stuff up to the house for the late start to the season. This is the first time in 13 or 14 years that I haven't skied by now. Okemo may be able to start making snow Friday.
post #68 of 82
Skiing Weatherman, Herb Stevens, has his long range winter forecast up. He thinks that in the NW and Whistler things are going to dissipate and we're supposed to have the prospects for a very strong late Dec- Feb. with March still being uo in the air winter here in the east.

Time will tell, as in all these weather models and analogs the forecasters reserve the right to be 100% right 50% of the time!
post #69 of 82
Whereas here at least, my front yard has way less snow than usual for now.  Normally there's a foot that's been here for a while.  We didn't get our Halloween snow (of course, that always melts).  I think we've had maybe three two inch storms....  Which is fine since we're not supposed to open yet anyway until Dec. 5.  But, I think it's time for some snow to hit or that date will be in jeopardy or sort of a "so what" kind of opening.
post #70 of 82
Quote:
Originally Posted by snofun3 View Post

These guys can't get this afternoon's weather right, yet some are willing to believe a long term forecast. FWIW, get a farmer's almanac and have at it.

Not believing....hoping/praying....
post #71 of 82
Quote:
Originally Posted by deliberate1 View Post

Here in Maine we had the 5th rainiest June on record - something like 25 days. And it has not stopped raining since. If this were winter, OMG....... 

I've got a sled, i've got a studded KX500 dirtbike, and now I have skis, there better be SOMETHING this winter or i'll just put a shotgun to my left temple and pull the trigger...   :)   (all's I need is some good cold, and i'll be happy, this past November is not building confidence thus far) !!
post #72 of 82
Quote:
Originally Posted by sibhusky View Post

 So, basically, maybe it's a good thing that there's no planned ESA in Big Sky this year:


This looks EXACTLY like the snow totals map on the news today!
post #73 of 82
Rained yesterday here in Stowe and temps above freezing.  But snow is coming today and tomorrow, and temps for the week likely to be in single digits.  That's the beauty of skiiing in the East: you can get a variety of conditions just in a week. 
post #74 of 82

We've had a foot of new snow in the last 24 hours here at Stowe.  Why am I still sitting here at my laptop?  Because: "Due to High Winds all major lifts are on wind hold."   So, having second cup of coffee and hit F5 every five minutes....  

post #75 of 82
 "Wind hold" is a phrase I was very accustomed to when skiing northern Vermont in my college years.  It can be frustrating after a big powder dump.  Sometimes they will be on hold for half a day after a storm, and I've even seen them last a full day now and then.  Hopefully at least some lower mountain lifts will open this morning.  Good luck!
post #76 of 82
Anyone else ever notice that the pre-Winter season predictions are usually accurate about half of the time? You can flip a coin and make just as good a prediction. 

Seasonal predictions are 10% science, 45 % fortune telling, and 45% palm reading.
post #77 of 82
I gotta say, the prediction is not far off....
post #78 of 82
Joe Bastardi has a history of making long-term winter forecasts that are bent towards storminess in the East, (gotta love this guy; he's highly entertaining) but this year all the Accuweather forecasters along with some of the NOAA people have been on board with similar predictions.  So far, the January forecast is mirroring the predictions; we'll just have to wait and see what the winter holds. 

Statistically, we are long overdue for some big storms.
post #79 of 82
The Mountain Triple opened on the Mansfield side.  Wind chill was in the -30s.  We and a few stalwart others had some great runs, and the Mansfield base lodge must have had a record day in hot cocoa sales.   My son and I had one of the last chairs up and skied down Hayride.  We had the slope completely to ourselves.  It was awesome.  Today: clear, less wind, but still frigid -- a great day for skiing!  The Nor' Easter that was possibly coming on Friday is apparently now less likely to come this far inland.  
post #80 of 82
Quote:
Originally Posted by skier219 View Post

 "Wind hold" is a phrase I was very accustomed to when skiing northern Vermont in my college years.  It can be frustrating after a big powder dump.  Sometimes they will be on hold for half a day after a storm, and I've even seen them last a full day now and then.  Hopefully at least some lower mountain lifts will open this morning.  Good luck!

It ended up being a full day. but not frustrating to those who were willing to skin. Jimski Pmed you back to me.
post #81 of 82
Quote:
Originally Posted by MojoMan View Post

Anyone else ever notice that the pre-Winter season predictions are usually accurate about half of the time? You can flip a coin and make just as good a prediction. 

Seasonal predictions are 10% science, 45 % fortune telling, and 45% palm reading.

As of this moment, the PNW winter has been warmer and drier than the last two winters. Must be a total coincidence.
post #82 of 82
BWPA --PM'ed you back.  Conditions here yesterday were fantastic.  Stowe is an amazing place to ski -- will give more details in a separate TR next week.
New Posts  All Forums:Forum Nav:
  Return Home
  Back to Forum: General Skiing Discussion
EpicSki › The Barking Bear Forums › On the Snow (Skiing Forums) › General Skiing Discussion › Bless you Joe Bastardi - 09-10 winter forecast is a boon for skiers in the East and West!