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Tahoe storm snow levels dropping to Lake level ! Oh yeah ! - Page 5

post #121 of 142
NWS says a La Nina is setting up, thrugh Spring. This could mean jet stream shifting north...or not. kinda 50-50. some of norcal's biggest winters have been la ninas...also some dry ones.
post #122 of 142
Well, this is how it currently stacks up. After two below normal years and a poor start to this season:



But the outlook forecast does not predict significant deviations from normal for Tahoe.

8-14 days:



one-month precip



3-month outlook

post #123 of 142
Does anyone see a pattern change in the coming week or so???
post #124 of 142
There is nothing in sight and the ridge is very strong. This is the dryest January I have ever seen and may break records based on current trends. We already have a severe drought, and this is nearly the nail in the coffin for our summer water supply.

...UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY WEATHER OVER THE INTERIOR OF NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA CONTINUES INTO NEXT WEEK...

VERY STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER OVER THE
INTERIOR OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND WILL CONTINUE THE UNSEASONABLY
WARM AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH INTO THE 60S TO
MID 70S IN PARTS OF THE CENTRAL VALLEY AND SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS...
AND INTO THE 40S TO LOW 60S IN THE MOUNTAINS FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK
AHEAD. THESE TEMPERATURES MAY POSSIBLY BE WARM ENOUGH TO APPROACH
OR ESTABLISH NEW RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AT SOME LOCATIONS.

IT WILL NOT BE UNUSUAL FOR FOOTHILL LOCATIONS TO BE WARMER
THAN THE CENTRAL VALLEY LOCATIONS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS DUE
TO A STRONG TEMPERATURE INVERSION...WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE
WARMING WITH HEIGHT. IN THIS WEATHER PATTERN...THE AIR TEMPERATURE
IS ACTUALLY WARMING WITH HEIGHT UP TO AROUND 4000 FEET...AND THEN
BEGINS TO COOL.

NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BLOW AT TIMES AND LIMIT THE AREAL COVERAGE
OF FOG IN THE CENTRAL VALLEY.

THE STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE HAS DEFLECTED THE JET STREAM
AND THE STORM TRACK WELL NORTHWARD INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
THUS...DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA DESPITE
THIS MONTH NORMALLY BEING THE WETTEST MONTH OF THE YEAR.

THE LIST BELOW INCLUDES THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEK
AHEAD AT VARIOUS LOCATIONS.

LOCATION JAN 11 JAN 12 JAN 13 JAN 14 JAN 15 JAN 16

REDDING.........74......73......76......76......76 ......74
RED BLUFF.......71......73......72......73......74.... ..76
SACRAMENTO......67......69......65......65......67 ......68
SAC EXECUTIVE...67......67......64......63......67.... ..67
STOCKTON........67......67......69......65......65 ......67
MODESTO.........69......71......67......66......65 ......71
BLUE CANYON.....63......59......64......63......67..... .67
PARADISE........67......77......70......70......70 ......68
GRASS VALLEY....70......75......68......72......74...... 69
post #125 of 142
Wanna see something scary?






It's going to be at least 10 days before we receive any additional coverage that's not shot out of a gun.
post #126 of 142
Quote:
Originally Posted by alpinedad View Post
It's going to be at least 10 days before we receive any additional coverage that's not shot out of a gun.
Can't shoot it out of a gun with those temps .
The bright side is that weather forecasters have a good reputation for being wrong .
JF
post #127 of 142
Quote:
Originally Posted by 4ster View Post
Can't shoot it out of a gun with those temps .
I know that there was snow blowing on Saturday night. It might not have gotten cold enough last night. But the inversion layer can make it easier to blow at lower elevations.

Also, temperature isn't the only factor; humidity is key too. And NOAA is predicting a period of 36-48 consecutive hours of single-digit humidity percentages this week.
post #128 of 142
i'm expecting a good week of skiing. today was sweet for sure.

we do need snow, tho... bad.
post #129 of 142

Kirkwood Jan 25 - 30?

Since forecasts are pretty dismal for the next week or so....odds are good for some precip at the end of the month. Anyone want to split a room at Kirkwood in hopes of catching some fresh snow? I'm willing to ski elsewhere in Tahoe if I can keep room and lift ticket costs to $500 for the week.

Tim
post #130 of 142
Your best bet for coming close to that price point is either a ratbag motel in South Lake Tahoe and a Heavenly pass, or the Granlibakken in Tahoe City and ski any north tahoe resort you want (including Squaw, Alpine, Northstar, Sugar Bowl, Homewood, etc...) on their stay-and-ski deal.

-Adam
post #131 of 142
Today I had to attend a business meeting in Fresno, so I took the bike. 430 mile round trip in January. No problem.

I'm daring Ullr.

post #132 of 142
You might as well have done a 10 day tour. This high pressure is here for a while.

Good idea to pullout the bike. Might as well make the best of it!
post #133 of 142
Today's temperaturs approached 89 in Northern, CA and along the Coast. Locally, it was mosly mid 60s to 70s for a high under sunny skies. People in the east just glaze over when they hear that stuff.


Send water.
post #134 of 142
Well we are leaving Friday early morning and it will be probably 0 to -5 here in NNJ when we leave our house in the early AM. Funny we are going to the mountains on a ski vacation and temps could be 40-50 degrees warmer!!!

Spring skiing here we come!!!!!!
post #135 of 142
ya it's a cold one eh ... my dad's family is from Roseau MN.

Check out the weather tonight. (-20 at this reading with a wind chill of -40F!)

Here's to hoping the warm dry ends out there in the west in a week or so ...
post #136 of 142
Not to worry! The skiing is great, but no powder in sight. The groomed runs are skiing very well in the mornings with off-piste representing well in the afternoon. The problem is, IT"S JANUARY! We're supposed to be getting the biggest snowfalls of the year.

We're complaining , but you'll find good skiing and enjoy spring weather until January 23 when something might shake loose finally.
post #137 of 142
There's snow in the forecast Tuesday and Wednesday next week. Anyone have any better resources than weather.com for whether this will be a strong system or not?
post #138 of 142
Quote:
Originally Posted by Magnus_CA View Post
There's snow in the forecast Tuesday and Wednesday next week. Anyone have any better resources than weather.com for whether this will be a strong system or not?
Yes, absolutely!

There is a family (pride?) of wolvarillos that lives on the hillside behind the shop. Wolvadaddy just woke up long enough to come into the shop last week to pick up some down vests for the cubs and to borrow our biggest shovel.

BTW....this January high pressure is more common than not.

SJ
post #139 of 142
some people like this website: http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/...Select=WEATHER

I haven't made up my mind whether its weather forecasts are more accurate, but there it is...
post #140 of 142
Tony Crocker where are you

My buddy had some links from Navy Mil site ... lemme look it up ... you can actually see the whole Pacific and watch the storms come in from like a week out ...

{googling}
Try this

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/epac_westcoast.cgi

Better yet this one

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tropics-b...M_TYPE=Instant

post #141 of 142
Quote:
Originally Posted by SierraJim View Post
Yes, absolutely!

There is a family (pride?) of wolvarillos that lives on the hillside behind the shop. Wolvadaddy just woke up long enough to come into the shop last week to pick up some down vests for the cubs and to borrow our biggest shovel.

BTW....this January high pressure is more common than not.

SJ
I see the lack of the white stuff has gotten to you too.

Be strong my friend, be strong.
post #142 of 142
I did a 430 mile motorcycle trip on Tuesday for a business meeting. Things are completely nuts here for January. I just grilled a steak on mesquite coals and oak wine barrel smoke. Our current conditons at 8:30 PM:


Weather for Placerville, CA
- Add to iGoogle
68°F
Current: Clear
Wind: NE at 1 mph
Humidity: 8%

Thu

65°F | 49°F
Fri

65°F | 47°F
Sat

63°F | 38°F
Sun

65°F | 36°F
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