or Connect
EpicSki › The Barking Bear Forums › Mountain/Resort Related Forums › Resorts, Conditions & Travel › When will it start snowing (for real)?
New Posts  All Forums:Forum Nav:

When will it start snowing (for real)? - Page 2

post #31 of 38
Snowing heavily in Park City right now...
post #32 of 38
8-18" expected in CO today. Woot! It could be a pretty good opening day!
post #33 of 38
Right now on Teton Pass...w/Tow Truck and everything!

Attachment 4069
post #34 of 38
Here's an encouraging prediction about this winter from a blogger who posts weekly forecasts for eastern PA cycling conditions.

Fri, 17 Oct 2008
Winter Climate Prediction
With this coming weekend being a good reminder that colder weather is on the way, I thought I'd share my current thinking about the upcoming winter.

Let me first say that climate prediction and weather prediction are totally different fields, and that I usually stay away from climate prediction. However, I believe this coming winter will be influenced by a particular effect of the current extreme low in the sunspot cycle.
The sun undergoes periodic and relatively predictable increases and decreases in sunspot number. These cyles, lasting about 11 years had their last peak in the year 2000. This was the peak of cycle #23.
Cycle #24 was supposed to have started some time ago, but over the past year, there has been a paucity of sunspots, in fact, we have recently completed the longest stretch of time in many years with no sunpots at all. With few or no sunspots, the solar flux (energy coming from the sun) has been at a significant nadir for many months. I believe this accounted for the relatively cool summer we had.
With the solar flux still at an extremely low level, I expect this coming winter to be exceptionally cold, perhaps the coldest we have had in many years.
There are many online sites that discuss ramifications of this lull in the sunspot cycle. Search for Dalton Minimum and Solar Cycle 24 on Google for more information.
By the way, over the past few weeks, the first sunspots of the beginning of Cycle 24 have developed. So the sun is no longer spotless. The solar flux, though, remains at just 40% of the level we had in 2000. So we have a way to go to warm up this atmosphere.
posted: Oct 17 2008 at 9:04 pm
post #35 of 38
It's snowing hard in the WA Cascades right now. It's supposed to turn to rain, then back to snow. This is good because it creates a nice consolidated base layer. As soon as we get 20-36" we'll be ready to go.
post #36 of 38
Hope this storm delivers a lot of snow
and there is a chance of an other storm hit the Rockies just next week...
post #37 of 38
sage skied at alta yesterday

post #38 of 38
December is USUALLY one of the heaviest snow months in Colorado, usually by Christmas the resorts are more than 90 percent open.
Not true http://people.montana.com/~jbraun/coloearly.htm
Note that Steamboat at 86% and Wolf Creek at 92% are the only areas averaging over 70% at Christmas. The averaging methodology is a bit messed up, and Vail/Winter Park are really 80+%. But overall the principle applies: Most Colorado areas are great late season and somewhat speculative early season.

FYI I've updated that chart since 2002. Steamboat got 14 inches last week and it's another La Nina, so odds on the original question trip look quite good.
New Posts  All Forums:Forum Nav:
  Return Home
  Back to Forum: Resorts, Conditions & Travel
EpicSki › The Barking Bear Forums › Mountain/Resort Related Forums › Resorts, Conditions & Travel › When will it start snowing (for real)?