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Whistler snow forecast for 09?

post #1 of 19
Thread Starter 
Can anyone up that way give me a sense of what the snow might be like at Whistler in mid-March 09? The U.S. long range forecasts for the NW only show normal precipitation and slightly above normal temps, the Canadian forecast hasn't been issued yet far as I can find. So what are the chances of rain instead of snow, doyathink? Thanks for the help.
post #2 of 19
The snow will be white.
post #3 of 19
It will rain on the 10th but from then on it's going to be blue skies every day for a week.
There'll be a pressure inversion later in March but I wouldn't worry about it - it'll mainly affect the mountain that I have forseen that you won't be skiing on.

That'll be $4trillion please.
post #4 of 19
There are chances of rain in March of 2009. There are much better chances for snow.
post #5 of 19
You might be interested in this from the NYT. The takeaway is that weather forecasts only become more accurate than chance within about 2 days. Past 3 they are pretty meaningless.

http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.co...her-forecasts/
post #6 of 19
First off, that is a blog - hardly science.
Second, there's a huge difference between TV weather forecasting and NWS, NWAC, and the CPC.

Weather forecasting is more accurate than most are willing to credit, but then again, most are unable to read an NWS text and understand it.

That said, forecasting 9 months out is pretty damn loose. About all that can be said at this point is La Nina is weakening to moderate but forecast to continue through the next 3 months. Thank you, that'll be ten dollars.
post #7 of 19
Quote:
Originally Posted by Harry_Morgan View Post
First off, that is a blog - hardly science.
Second, there's a huge difference between TV weather forecasting and NWS, NWAC, and the CPC.

Weather forecasting is more accurate than most are willing to credit, but then again, most are unable to read an NWS text and understand it.

That said, forecasting 9 months out is pretty damn loose. About all that can be said at this point is La Nina is weakening to moderate but forecast to continue through the next 3 months. Thank you, that'll be ten dollars.
NOAA was included in the data analysis, and was only marginally more accurate than the local TV news. And even though it was reported on a blog, that article was indeed science. It tested a hypothesis with verifiable data.

It is true that a single experiment does not constitute proof. However, it has been reported elsewhere that weather prediction becomes exceedingly dicey past even a mid-range forecast. It's no coincidence that the father of chaos theory, Edward Lorenz, was a meteorologist.
post #8 of 19
It might rain, it will snow at some point, and there will be periods of sun punctuated by nighttime every evening. My rates are cheap, that'll only cost ya a buck fifty.
post #9 of 19
Come on, just book the trip - you know you want it! There WILL be snow and probably lots of it.
post #10 of 19
Don't feed the troll.
post #11 of 19
Remember Fielder's first law of forecasting "He who lives by the crystal ball learns to eat ground glass." Then again, there is the second law "If you are ever right, never let them forget it."

Mike
post #12 of 19
Only fools actually believe in long-range snowfall forcasts! We were supposed to get nothing this past season and it turned out to the best in a decade.
post #13 of 19
Well, I don't know about 9-12 months from now (forecasters can't get tomorrow right), but today it was pretty freaking noice on Blackcomb.
post #14 of 19
Quote:
Originally Posted by snofun3 View Post
Well, I don't know about 9-12 months from now (forecasters can't get tomorrow right), but today it was pretty freaking noice on Blackcomb.
It was, wasn't it. Bluebird skies and people in silly costumes. I have no clue how Sombrero Dude kept his hat on.
post #15 of 19
I'm looking for an update on the forecast for Whistler in mid January 2010. Please PM me if you have any insider info.
post #16 of 19
Quote:
Originally Posted by Voltron View Post
I'm looking for an update on the forecast for Whistler in mid January 2010. Please PM me if you have any insider info.
No pm necessary. It will be colder than it is in June.

Mike
post #17 of 19
Well, let's see, on Saturday it was bluebird and 50 degrees (was supposed to rain according to the forecast earlier in the week), then yesterday it was fine until about 2:15 when wet snow and rain (lower elevations) hit (it was supposed to be raining all day), then today it's raining, and supposed to turn to snow in the late am (I'm not wasting a lift ticket).

So, anybody know what it's going top be like two weekends from now when I'm back?

Let's see - '09? Well, no doubt they'll be weather........
post #18 of 19
"The forecast for tonight is dark, with scattered light towards dawn"

Al Sleet, your hippy-dippy weatherman, with your hippy, dippy weather, man!

Al Sleet remains the MOST ACCURATE weatherman I have evr heard.
post #19 of 19
Thread Starter 
Can't believe this thread is still going. Long ago sorry I asked. FWIW, I gave up on Whister for 09, complicated logistics unrelated to snowfall potential. Now back to your dazzling repartee about snow being white, and so on...:
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