Originally Posted by Harry_Morgan
First off, that is a blog - hardly science.
Second, there's a huge difference between TV weather forecasting and NWS, NWAC, and the CPC.
Weather forecasting is more accurate than most are willing to credit, but then again, most are unable to read an NWS text and understand it.
That said, forecasting 9 months out is pretty damn loose. About all that can be said at this point is La Nina is weakening to moderate but forecast to continue through the next 3 months. Thank you, that'll be ten dollars.
NOAA was included in the data analysis, and was only marginally more accurate than the local TV news. And even though it was reported on a blog, that article was indeed science. It tested a hypothesis with verifiable data.
true that a single experiment does not constitute proof. However, it has been reported elsewhere
that weather prediction becomes exceedingly dicey past even a mid-range forecast. It's no coincidence that the father of chaos theory, Edward Lorenz
, was a meteorologist.