Originally Posted by Paul Jones
Am I the only one worried about this situation? September was the warmest and driest since I have been around. .
Again, the global perspective is less dire.
(from the blog of Lubos Motl, a physicist at Harvard)
The last statement is rather depressing however:RSS MSU: September 2007 was 7th coolest month in this century
According to a recent studyS
, September 2007 was the 7th coldest month among 81 months since January 2001. It has made it to the 9% of the coolest months of the 21st century so far. Their gadgets measure temperature at latitudes between -70.0 (S) and +82.5 (N) - about 94.5% of the surface if I compute well.
In the last month, the global temperature was just 0.12 Celsius degrees above the long-term average which means that it was 0.78 Celsius degrees cooler than the temperature in April 1998 when the anomaly was +0.9 Celsius degrees. The main reason is La Nina that is getting stronger and might continue to do so for a few months.
The Southern hemisphere was 0.015 Celsius degrees cooler (!) than the long-term average, fifth coldest month since January 2001. Antarctica has cooled down by roughly 1 Fahrenheit degree
in the last 50 years.Figure 1:
La Nina conditions on October 4th, 2007. Click for other dates. The surface sea temperature anomalies are divided to 0.5-Kelvin steps and colored. White means sea ice, black means land.
La Nina, i.e. the female baby Jesus (Spanish speakers agree that this is the right translation unless they discriminate against girls by thinking that they can't become baby Jesus!), is famous for the blue (cool) strip in the equatorial Pacific ocean. Because this ocean is pretty big, La Nina typically lowers the global mean temperatures, too. More importantly, it brings distinct patterns of temperature and moisture to different parts of the world.
By the way, in an interview with Dennis Prager, Prof Robert Giegenback
who is a geologist at UPenn describes some climate issues from a geological perspective. Among other things, he argues that only during 5% of the last one billion of years, the Earth could support permanent ice on both poles. We're living in one of the coolest periods of the geological history.http://motls.blogspot.com/