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*Potential* Good One for the Wasatch

post #1 of 18
Thread Starter 
I'm probably jinxing it by even posting but NWS is predicting 44" for Alta in the next few days out of this storm. Half that much would be cool. I really like the way this one is setting up with a huge pocket of instability coming in for the next three days, which leads to prodigous snowfall rates. Even better is the warm Great Salt Lake and very cold air coming in that will be picking up extra moister over the last leg before the Cottonwoods. We'll see how this one turns out. Surfs up!

Powdr

www.teleprophet.blogspot.com
post #2 of 18
Uhhhh....

yeah.

When you get one of these, you know they're expecting some snow:

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

AVALANCHE WATCH

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
BACKCOUNTRY AVALANCHE WATCH
FOREST SERVICE UTAH AVALANCHE CENTER
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
809 AM MST MON NOV 27 2006

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE
FOREST SERVICE UTAH AVALANCHE CENTER.

THE FOREST SERVICE UTAH AVALANCHE CENTER HAS ISSUED AN AVALANCHE
WATCH FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN UTAH FOR TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
FORECAST HEAVY SNOWFALL AND WINDS WILL CREATE UNSTABLE AVALANCHE
CONDITIONS IN THE BACKCOUNTRY. THE DANGER IS EXPECTED TO RISE
SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE STORM. FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT
WWW.AVALANCHE.ORG OR CALL 18889994019.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
BACKCOUNTRY AVALANCHE WATCH
FOREST SERVICE UTAH AVALANCHE CENTER
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
809 AM MST MON NOV 27 2006

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE
FOREST SERVICE UTAH AVALANCHE CENTER.

THE FOREST SERVICE UTAH AVALANCHE CENTER HAS ISSUED AN AVALANCHE
WATCH FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN UTAH FOR TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
FORECAST HEAVY SNOWFALL AND WINDS WILL CREATE UNSTABLE AVALANCHE
CONDITIONS IN THE BACKCOUNTRY. THE DANGER IS EXPECTED TO RISE
SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE STORM. FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT
WWW.AVALANCHE.ORG OR CALL 18889994019.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Good luck and stay safe.
post #3 of 18
Thread Starter 
UAC described the upcomming danger as something the Wasatch hasn't seen in the last few years. With poor bonding on the existing snowpack due the high pressure of the last two weeks, we could be in for a season long avalanche cycle with this layer. The last few years had much better steady snowpack builds without significant faceting. Not even considering BC for the next few days.

Powdr
post #4 of 18
FABLUOUS! I have my first December trip set up to start next Thursday and I 've been hoping for snow and terrain to open. Looks like it'll be good. here is dry day long term for Alta.
http://www.dryday.com/30dayWeather/US/Utah/Alta.html
also, the pacific radar looks like more is coming.
Does anyone know when the bird tunnel might open? Also, is it possible that Mineral Basin will be open for next Thursday(12/9)? - thanks, will be in full devotion soon... SD
post #5 of 18
Quote:
Originally Posted by Powdr View Post
UAC described the upcomming danger as something the Wasatch hasn't seen in the last few years. With poor bonding on the existing snowpack due the high pressure of the last two weeks, we could be in for a season long avalanche cycle with this layer.
Powdr
This is what I've been afraid of. Hopefully, the fact that alot slopes here in N Utah were snow free until this storm started will help a bit.
post #6 of 18
whats up with the dryday thing it says "stay as far away from black and grey bars" lol how are u suppose to do that if the only other bars are yellow??? and they are rite between black and grey bars... NEWAYSS DUMPAGE CONTINUESSSSSS I WISH IT WAS LIKE THIS OUT EAST BUT FOR US IT DOENST LOOK ANY BETTER FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER WEEK OR TWO.
post #7 of 18
Pretty heavy snow fall here, looking real good . Hate to jinx it - we'll see.
post #8 of 18
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by SnowbirdDevotee View Post
FABLUOUS! I have my first December trip set up to start next Thursday and I 've been hoping for snow and terrain to open. Looks like it'll be good. here is dry day long term for Alta.
http://www.dryday.com/30dayWeather/US/Utah/Alta.html
also, the pacific radar looks like more is coming.
Does anyone know when the bird tunnel might open? Also, is it possible that Mineral Basin will be open for next Thursday(12/9)? - thanks, will be in full devotion soon... SD
I wouldn't put ANY stock in that site. Utter BS. I kept records of that site, Accuweather & TWC for 2 years. NONE of them were better than 50% on their long range forecasting. NOAA & all the forecast models can't get the weather straight after about 10 days out, let alone in the next month.

Powdr
post #9 of 18
Thread Starter 
Report so far:

Snotel automated sites (Thaynes Canyon & Snowbird) are showing pre-frontal accumulations of 10-12" as of 5:00PM. About 6" in PC town area already. Front is due to cross SLC in the next hour or so, and the snowfall rate should intensify into the night. Keep....fingers.....crossed.

Powdr
post #10 of 18
Snow, snow, snow, snow, snow, snow, snow.

How's it coming down Powdr and Mr. Crab? Still heavy? In looking at PC webcam, it looks like there is still some pretty sparse coverage in some areas of PC (e.g, grass poking through the white). Hope it just dumps for the next couple of days.

Thanks for your continuous updates.
post #11 of 18
Quote:
Originally Posted by Powdr View Post
UAC described the upcomming danger as something the Wasatch hasn't seen in the last few years. With poor bonding on the existing snowpack due the high pressure of the last two weeks, we could be in for a season long avalanche cycle with this layer. The last few years had much better steady snowpack builds without significant faceting. Not even considering BC for the next few days.
Let's hope this first round of snow is the good bonding type. If not, look out!!!.
post #12 of 18
Quote:
"pre-frontal accumulations . . ."
I feel giddy. Here's hoping for a deep, full-frontal. Wait . . . that came out wrong.
post #13 of 18
Quote:
Originally Posted by Powdr View Post
I wouldn't put ANY stock in that site...Powdr
i agree with, but have to hope on something. it is something how the snow can seem to appear or disappear out of nowhere, same things happens here in the east. we can seem to have a storm show up by surprise with just 36 hrs notice.
here is the pacific radar that i also watch.
http://www.intellicast.com/IcastPage...p&prodnav=none

my interpretation of the radar is that there is more coming.
hoping for enough coverage for Snowbasin for next week, my kid really likes that one. SD
post #14 of 18
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lonnie View Post
Let's hope this first round of snow is the good bonding type. If not, look out!!!.
Just cleared the driveway. 6" of pretty light stuff, not the bonding type. Started intensifying sas I was clearing (looks like the front is now overhead) and it was coming down so fast that my plow tracks were filling in on the return run.

Powdr
post #15 of 18
Ridgetop gusts in the 40's = slab city.
post #16 of 18
Pretty wet stuff here on the west side. Expect LCC and BCC roads to be closed a bit over the next two days.
post #17 of 18
Wind-slab, avy danger, road closure... It's all good, biatches!
post #18 of 18
Wednesday is going to be sweet. My 11 AM doctors appointment that day will be a long one...
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