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Say it Ain't So!

post #1 of 15
Thread Starter 
My new Metron B5's arrived today! Then I hear on the news there is an El Nino forming in the Pacific and the snow load will be lower than normal this year; thus, the skiing in the west is at risk. Arrrgh!
post #2 of 15
Quote:
Originally Posted by wilbur View Post
My new Metron B5's arrived today! Then I hear on the news there is an El Nino forming in the Pacific and the snow load will be lower than normal this year; thus, the skiing in the west is at risk. Arrrgh!
Just think, they'll be virtually new next season!:
post #3 of 15
Kind of depends on where in the west you are. If you're in the PNW, you're right. We could have a lousy snow year but not necessarily. If you're in Cali or Utah, it could be good for you. The storms tend to head south toward the Sierra and Wasatch.
post #4 of 15
Or the meteorologists could be wrong as usual...:
post #5 of 15
Unfortunately, there does appear to be a distinct el nino forming. We in Oz watch the SOI with interest, as it means big drought for us. It means more wet for South America, so I imagine anything in southern US should also get some of that? I'll go look up an Oz-based site and bung it here, as it might be useful for perspective on the event.

Edit: Here 'tis:
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

If you combine that with whatever the NOAA are saying, you will probably get a more complete picture of what's going on.

All I know is we are having the earliest, hottest start to summer yet. Bushfires already, months early.
post #6 of 15
Quote:
Originally Posted by GoldMember View Post
Kind of depends on where in the west you are. If you're in the PNW, you're right. We could have a lousy snow year but not necessarily. If you're in Cali or Utah, it could be good for you. The storms tend to head south toward the Sierra and Wasatch.
Snow at 49degrees North the 14th and some expected at Schweitzer on thursday . Let's just hope for the best.
post #7 of 15
Quote:
Originally Posted by ant View Post
Unfortunately, there does appear to be a distinct el nino forming. We in Oz watch the SOI with interest, as it means big drought for us. It means more wet for South America, so I imagine anything in southern US should also get some of that? I'll go look up an Oz-based site and bung it here, as it might be useful for perspective on the event.

Edit: Here 'tis:
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

If you combine that with whatever the NOAA are saying, you will probably get a more complete picture of what's going on.

All I know is we are having the earliest, hottest start to summer yet. Bushfires already, months early.
Lots of fires here too. Idaho has most in U.S. Last week 17 and 9 in Washington . Smoke in Montana when I was there last week . Best of wishes to all Down Under.
post #8 of 15
Taos and Wolf Creek have also been know to do well in El Nino' years. Oh yes, and Mammoth too....

L
post #9 of 15

Exploding Six California Myths About El Niño

El Nino has helped bring some great years to Mammoth, but our worst drought years also came from El nino here in Mammoth.

Exploding Six California Myths About El Niño
http://ggweather.com/archive/weacornerfeb12.htm

post #10 of 15

SoCal

Mt. Baldy says "bring it."

post #11 of 15
Snowfall wise you guys out west usually have it pretty damn good. Even if snowfall is "a little off" I think you'll be OK.
We had a total of 110" at Sunday River last year and still a fun year..granted it's augmented by a TON of snowmaking.
BUT if you get 110" out there yes it WOULD be a disaster...
post #12 of 15
Quote:
Originally Posted by wilbur View Post
My new Metron B5's arrived today! Then I hear on the news there is an El Nino forming in the Pacific and the snow load will be lower than normal this year; thus, the skiing in the west is at risk. Arrrgh!
wilber, don't get discouraged. You just need to understand a few things:

First, forget NOAA go with this year's Farmers Almanac. The Almanac predicts an early and banner year for the PNW. Remember, always go with the forecast that seems most promising. Besides, the Almanac forecast accounts for diminished sunspot activity which NOAA has completely overlooked.

Second, a proper sacrifice to the winter god of skiing is extremely important. In this case, your new Metron's will do nicely. Send a PM to Phil P. and he can undoubtedly make sure that your sacrifice gets to Ull (or the Epic Ski Auction.) Sure, you will be out a pair of new skis but think how great a PNW deeply blanketed in snow will be.

Have a great season.

P.S. Just kidding about the skis.
post #13 of 15
Wilbur - go with the most optomistic as LostBoy says. For the Pacific Northwest the Farmer's Almanac is calling for colder temperatures than normal and more snow than average in the west and average in the east. Heaviest snowfalls in mid to late November, early to mid January and mid to late February. Let's see how good they really are!
What length B5's did you get and how heavy are you? I was sort of set on the M11B5 until I got a whole bunch of feedback from local skiers sayin that the B5 is better for our heavy western snow. Torn between the 162 and 172 for the B5s.
post #14 of 15
Thread Starter 
6 foot, 210 pounds (without ski clothing). Could have gotten by with 162 but chose 172. They are beautiful skis. I have been on Atomic R10 and they too are good skis...the B5s were a "want" not a "need." Fact is...the R10s were all the ski I needed but wanted to step it up.
post #15 of 15

New Skis-El Nino

Wilbur, Not that I ever believe the Weather people but if El Nino occurs lets me in Taos and if the powder is not too good I'll ski my B5's with ya and if its good I'll let ya take a run on my Bros.
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