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Western Forecast-More Drought

post #1 of 8
Thread Starter 
The National Weather Service issued its annual winter outlook Thursday.

According to the forecast, temperatures in Alaska, the far West, Southwest and Southern Plains are likely to above normal.

The winter forecast also indicates that the multiyear drought in the West will probably continue.

The report said, for other parts of the nation, the winter will bring equal chances of above-, below- or near normal temperatures.

At the same time a climatologist for the National Oceaninc and Atmospheric Center in Boulder is predicting for below normal precipitation in Colorado through mid December but normal precipitation in central Colorado. Let's hope this forcast comes true.

The 5 day forcast for Summit County is calling for temperatures in the mid 60's during the day and upper 20's at night.
post #2 of 8
Every year we go through this exercise - and every year, we ski. Sometimes it's ok, sometimes it could be better, and sometimes it's damn fine.

But whatever it is, we take what's served up, and we ski.
post #3 of 8
Quote:
Originally posted by Ski&Golf:

The report said, for other parts of the nation, the winter will bring equal chances of above-, below- or near normal temperatures.

Way to go out on a limb. I saw the report as well and came to the conclusion that the only solid prediction is that day time will be followed by night.
post #4 of 8
I thought a mild La Nina pattern was starting to develop as of August-did this change? I have seen predictions of both a La Nina, El Nino, and neutral winter from the Oregon Climate Service (last year was weak El Nino, which usually means warm, wet year). Does anyone know what is happening out in the Pacific right now? I look at the ENSO maps, but can't interpret them (I haven't found a map that has current departure from average temperature-if anyone wants to link one, I would appreciate it!)
post #5 of 8
Predictions schmedicitions. No drought conditions here right now. Highway is closed between Whistler and Vancouver because of flooding, and a bridge has washed out to the north, halting traffic to Pemberton. If this is a drought, I hope I don't have to see what it will be like when the rains come.
post #6 of 8
Have you noticed how this has a strange similarity to New Year's predictions?

Get enough people making enough opposing predictions and someone will wind up looking like a magician.

...Oh yeah,,, and conveniently forget all the bad forecasts later!

post #7 of 8
Predictions, predictions. Here on the dry side of Oregon, we have had more rain than this October than the past several. Right now have temps. in mid-70's, tomorrow the 60's, and Monday the forecast is more rain. So as we like to say here "If you don't like the weather, wait five minutes."

We will have a season, yes we will, and it will be good!
post #8 of 8
Quote:
Every year we go through this exercise - and every year, we ski. Sometimes it's ok, sometimes it could be better, and sometimes it's damn fine.

But whatever it is, we take what's served up, and we ski.
Amen, Oboe!
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