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High and Dry

post #1 of 20
Thread Starter 
Here in New Mexico the weather has been warm and dry. Right now it does not feel like we will have a decent snowpack early on. Pray for snow.
post #2 of 20
The NWS and NCCP is predicting a abnormally dry and warm winter through Jan. 06. Pray, I dont think the snow gods are listening though. Sorry.
post #3 of 20
Thread Starter 
Nooooooooooooooooooooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!! The Snow Gods Must Listen!!! I Have Faith!
post #4 of 20
OXfreeride, where are NWS and NCCP predicting a warm and dry winter for? Just New mexico or the whole Colorado, California, Utah and New mexico area?
post #5 of 20
I was in the Taos, Angel Fire, Red River area last week. There was no snow anywhere except on the highest peaks. Even the man made stuff down low was melting almost as fast as they made it.
post #6 of 20
The NWS is expecting a very drought like year for most southern states, especially New Mexico, Arizona and much of western texas. The temps are still in the mid 80's and its November. California Sierra resorts are still waiting for a minimal base to open. Last Oct. 22nd I was in 2 ft. of pow in the central sierras. Although there are predictions of the cold jet stream dipping into the hawaiin tropics picking up alot of moisture and dumping it on the sierra/cascade regions. By the way **** washington, Mt. Baker has 3ft. of skiiable pow and they opened today. Bastards....
post #7 of 20
Thread Starter 
I don't know about NWS, but NOAA (National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration) is predicting a 50% chance of it being wetter than normal, and a 50% chance of it being drier out west. Sounds like it will be a pretty normal year for precipitation. However, NOAA is also predicting a 70% chance in NM of higher than normal temperatures, 60% chance of higher temps in Colorado and Utah, and 55% chance of higher than normal temps in Wyoming.

If you look at this data, it appears that the problem will not be so much the amount of precipitation that will fall this winter, but rather the higher temperatures that will be causing that precipitation to arrive in the form of rain rather than snow, and also causing the precipitation to dissipate and evaporate more quickly than in normal years. This temperature problem will be more apparent in NM, Colorado and Utah.
post #8 of 20
Looks like NOAA is preciting above average temperatures for much of the West, not just NM, CO, & UT:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...churchill.html

I'm certainly not too concerned about rain here in CO this winter. I've lived here for 12 seasons and it's never rained from Nov-April above 9,000'.
post #9 of 20
Quote:
Originally Posted by cmsummit
Looks like NOAA is preciting above average temperatures for much of the West, not just NM, CO, & UT:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/product...churchill.html

I'm certainly not too concerned about rain here in CO this winter. I've lived here for 12 seasons and it's never rained from Nov-April above 9,000'.
What is the elevation @ the top of the Giants Steps Lift(1) @ Vail?

It rained there for a few hours last December, a few days before New Years.
post #10 of 20
Remember all that snow you had last year? It was just on loan from the Northwest. It has gone home.
post #11 of 20
Oh look here's some PNW Snow.




These guys are going to hunt you down dog.
post #12 of 20
Tahoe is Dry too. Remember last year was a fluke, we still got plenty of time?
I think PNW was due. I see that Mt. Baker and other areas near by are doing great (EPIC) but how is BC doing further North?
post #13 of 20
BC is doing pretty damn good considering it is the 11th of november and more snow is forecasted. Not as good as Baker but i don't think anyone is complaining.
post #14 of 20
Very pleasant conditions for soccer in Santa Fe last Sunday. How long does summer last in this place!!??
post #15 of 20
november used to be the coldest month. it's a wierd weather year. hope the drought has not come back, but it's looking sketchy, even with today's forecast precip.
post #16 of 20
Thread Starter 
In spite of last winter's nice snow and the wet spring, the drought is not over yet. Actually, I'm not sure if the term drought is even fair in New Mexico-dry conditions are normal. Rainfall has always been a crapshoot out in the southwest, and I wonder if someday we will run into a situation that makes us all abandon the area like the Anasazis were forced to. I have one good solution for saving water out here: drink more booze!
post #17 of 20
Thread Starter 
Ski Santa Fe now has one little itsy, bitsy patch of snow I can see up there. The sun is beating away on it, and no doubt in a couple of days it will be gone. I think I will take my dog up there and say a prayer to the angry snow gods. Perhaps I may even sacrifice my pipe.
post #18 of 20
Having lived through last winter's fun in the PNW, all I can say is I hope you guys set some snow soon. It is definitely no fun sitting there reading about snow dumps elsewhere and only seeing rain or sun -- don't get me wrong, I like the sun. So, Ullr send them some snow please.
post #19 of 20
Thread Starter 
Anytime you want some sunny weather, we would be more than happy to trade some snow for it. Don't feel too sorry for me, Wolf Creek just opened, and it's just a matter of time for that place before it gets dumped on. I am actually contemplating the 6 hours drive north to Summit County, as it seems they are getting some action. Colorado is sure an early saving grace for us New Mexico skiiers until Taos is ready.
post #20 of 20
Quote:
Originally Posted by Knute
it's just a matter of time for that place before it gets dumped on.
From your mouth to God's ear!
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