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AccuWeather Winter Prediction!!!

post #1 of 26
Thread Starter 
Every one who hasn't been to S Am for the summer or skied w Bob Barnes...:

Check out the long range WINTER forcast:

http://wwwa.accuweather.com/promotio...=winter_energy

This JUST for the east coast...
post #2 of 26
Unless I missed it---there is no good news for skiers in there. Just colder than average temperatures. I saw no mention of snowfall - either more or less than normal.

yippee!:
post #3 of 26
but colder than average, will help snowmaking if nature doesn't provide
post #4 of 26
Hopefully we are all lucky enough to get natural snow.
post #5 of 26
the same guys and gals that can't predict the next 24 hours with at least 50% accuracy, and you're rejoicing in their LONG TERM forecasts?

oh god. here we go again.

may allah restrain my vitriolic fingers at the keys.
post #6 of 26
Accuweather.com and Weather.com are terrible anymore. Intellicast is the only web-weather site that is reasonably accurate.

But, hey, check out the Farmer's Almanac Winter prediciton for 05/06: The East is on tap for a crazy ride, with the temperatures and weather initially leading into the winter season seeming mild, but the bulk of the winter will turn out to be unusually cold, with plenty of snow especially in the northern sections, ... link
post #7 of 26
Quote:
Originally Posted by gonzostrike
the same guys and gals that can't predict the next 24 hours with at least 50% accuracy, and you're rejoicing in their LONG TERM forecasts?

oh god. here we go again.

may allah restrain my vitriolic fingers at the keys.
As my dad loves to say, the only reliable weather forecasting tool these people know how to use is the window.
post #8 of 26
I agree. Accuweather is about the WORST predictor there is. They can't even get their short term forecasts right.

Powdr
post #9 of 26
Read that the Farmer's almanac predicts a wet winter in the NW and dryer than normal in the rockies. They claim 80-85% accuracy.
post #10 of 26
Quote:
Originally Posted by Westcat
Read that the Farmer's almanac predicts a wet winter in the NW and dryer than normal in the rockies. They claim 80-85% accuracy.
I choose the forcasts that looks most promising. So if you cross accuweather with the Old Farmers Almanac, it should be a fantastic snow year in the PNW.
The other side of the coin is that such predicting methods sometimes collide with reality as they did last season in the PNW.

However, hope springs eternal.
post #11 of 26
From accuweather to farmer's almanac....I'll bite my tongue.
post #12 of 26
Anyone checked out the Wooly Bear caterpillars?
post #13 of 26
I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but noaa.gov, (the national weather service, basically) says above average temperatures for winter, and average precipitation.
post #14 of 26
Quote:
Originally Posted by Harry_Morgan
From accuweather to farmer's almanac....I'll bite my tongue.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mack-2150
I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but noaa.gov, (the national weather service, basically) says above average temperatures for winter, and average precipitation.

The ENSO factor is reported to be near average temps in the equatorial Pacific. Shouldn't that count for something?
post #15 of 26
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lostboy
The ENSO factor is reported to be near average temps in the equatorial Pacific. Shouldn't that count for something?
There is a 50% probability of a normal year in the West and Northwest. Not a bad forecast at all!
post #16 of 26
Ooh, sorry, I was talking about in the East.
post #17 of 26
Quote:
Originally Posted by Powdr
I agree. Accuweather is about the WORST predictor there is. They can't even get their short term forecasts right.

Powdr
What's your experiences with www.snow-forecast.com? In Europe, they're covering Alps quite nicely and except for accumlated snowfall information the forecast is ussually reasonably reliable. My guess is that their accumlated snowfall is just calculated based on precipitation forecast and no real data used.
post #18 of 26
Accuweather may be terrible, but Rick Santorum thinks it's so good that he is sponsoring legislation to prevent the NWS from giving info to the general public, so that Accu, based in his home state, has less competition. Of course, Accu gets its raw data from NWS and repackages it. But a conservative like Santorum would NEVER be in favor of corporate welfare, would he?
post #19 of 26
Quote:
Originally Posted by skier_j
Unless I missed it---there is no good news for skiers in there. Just colder than average temperatures. I saw no mention of snowfall - either more or less than normal.
This kind of put a scare in me. I didnt see any mention of decent snow falls either. We all must start praying
post #20 of 26
What is a good reliable weather predictor for here in the east? What does the farmers almanac say? please please please let us have big snows and lots of face shots this winter oh lord
post #21 of 26
Quote:
Originally Posted by huckingfellers
This kind of put a scare in me. I didnt see any mention of decent snow falls either. We all must start praying
Lets not let this agreeing thang go on too long there HF!
post #22 of 26
Quote:
Originally Posted by evansilver
Accuweather may be terrible, but Rick Santorum thinks it's so good that he is sponsoring legislation to prevent the NWS from giving info to the general public, so that Accu, based in his home state, has less competition. Of course, Accu gets its raw data from NWS and repackages it. But a conservative like Santorum would NEVER be in favor of corporate welfare, would he?
Rick Santorum is a charter member of the Flat Earth Society.
post #23 of 26
Quote:
Originally Posted by skier_j
Lets not let this agreeing thang go on too long there HF!
Ok, deal; it was a bit more fun the other way eh. hahaha
post #24 of 26
Next fall, a thread will again appear with predictions for the 2006 - 2007 ski season. And once again, it will be worthless.

How was your winter? Here in the Sierras we set an all time record for snowfall. Its still snowing.

The Accuweather forecast for the past winter really missed:
Quote:
While the Northeast is expected to be contending with a severe winter, the middle of the country should experience typical winter temperature ranges. The western U.S. is forecast to have a warmer-than-typical winter, with eastern California, Nevada, Utah, and southern Idaho and Oregon projected to average three or four degrees above normal.

Severe weather has already contributed to higher energy prices this year. This summer has been unusually hot, creating increased demand for electricity generation to power air conditioners. In periods of high demand, electric utilities must bring oil-fired generators online. Additionally, the active hurricane season has wrought havoc on oil and natural gas production in the Gulf of Mexico. The storms have shut down or damaged drilling platforms, which has affected production and reduced supplies.
post #25 of 26
Where's it snowing? Do I need to go out and play in it?
post #26 of 26
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cirquerider
Next fall, a thread will again appear with predictions for the 2006 - 2007 ski season. And once again, it will be worthless.

How was your winter? Here in the Sierras we set an all time record for snowfall. Its still snowing.

The Accuweather forecast for the past winter really missed:
How was our winter in VT? Hmm...I skied more days in the rain this season than snow. Hell, I'm pretty sure I skied more days in the rain this season than all other seasons combined. It's STILL raining...Had another "beautiful" spring day today that ended with about an hour of bumps in the rain.

"Accuweather"
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