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How much snow to expect in Telluride this February?

post #1 of 18
Thread Starter 

I'm booking a ski vacation to either Aspen or Telluride this february, and I'm not sure how the snow's gonna look like. I think I read somewhere the Telluride is going to be dry this year. Can anyone who knows about this stuff confirm this?

post #2 of 18
No one knows about this stuff. Including NOAA. But you can always look at their forecasts: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/two_class.php

They've totally missed our summer weather and missed our winter, too.
post #3 of 18
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrB17 View Post
 

I'm booking a ski vacation to either Aspen or Telluride this february, and I'm not sure how the snow's gonna look like. I think I read somewhere the Telluride is going to be dry this year. Can anyone who knows about this stuff confirm this?

 

Rather than trying to predict what the weather will be 5 months from now, why don't you look at past snowfall history for the month of Feb?

post #4 of 18

I wouldn't worry about it.  You can't predict mother nature.  I would go ahead and plan a vacation to Aspen or Telluride in February no matter what any weather predictions might be saying. 

post #5 of 18
Thread Starter 
Quote:
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rubberduck View Post
 

I wouldn't worry about it.  You can't predict mother nature.  I would go ahead and plan a vacation to Aspen or Telluride in February no matter what any weather predictions might be saying. 


Ok, I'm just going to put my faith in Mother nature, book Telluride, and hope for the best. The main reason I was scared was because we had planned a ski vacation to Sugarbush last year, which we had to cancel due to lack of snow in NE.

post #6 of 18
That's skiing.
post #7 of 18

And if Telluride sucks, then don't go back.  A bad trip happens to the best of us from time to time.  But you should not go bust anywhere in Colorado in February.

post #8 of 18

Unless you are an expert, you have nothing to worry about.  The runs at Telluride you will be wanting to ski will be in great shape in February.

post #9 of 18
 
Originally Posted by Lofcaudio View Post

Unless you are an expert, you have nothing to worry about.  The runs at Telluride you will be wanting to ski will be in great shape in February.

Originally Posted by DanoT View Post

Rather than trying to predict what the weather will be 5 months from now, why don't you look at past snowfall history for the month of Feb?

Originally Posted by mrB17 View Post

Ok, I'm just going to put my faith in Mother nature, book Telluride, and hope for the best. The main reason I was scared was because we had planned a ski vacation to Sugarbush last year, which we had to cancel due to lack of snow in NE.

 

This.  

@mrB17, this forum has seen very long discussions about predicting snowfall.  

If what you are looking for is fresh snow that falls while you are there so you can ski untouched powder, that can't be predicted. 

But it sounds like you are hoping to avoid a repeat of what happened in New England last year (worst on record). 

You can pretty much have trust that resorts in Colorado will be snow-covered in February.  How much snow, and how fresh, is unpredictable. 

 

 

 
post #10 of 18
My scientific prognosticators indicates this guy's forecast is gospel.

http://www.aspentimes.com/news/aspen-weather-expect-the-pow-this-winter/
post #11 of 18
Are you looking for the best chance for a powder day, or, are you just hoping the runs won't be brown? Like others said there will be snow on the runs, but if you want the very best chance for fresh powder, there's better choices (and there's been a lot of discussion here about where to go to up your odds of having a powder day). When I've been to Telluride and Aspen mid season it's been icy due to lack of fresh snow--neither spot gets that much snow compared to a lot of other western resorts--but they are both great towns and worth a trip.
post #12 of 18
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Christy319 View Post

Are you looking for the best chance for a powder day, or, are you just hoping the runs won't be brown? Like others said there will be snow on the runs, but if you want the very best chance for fresh powder, there's better choices (and there's been a lot of discussion here about where to go to up your odds of having a powder day). When I've been to Telluride and Aspen mid season it's been icy due to lack of fresh snow--neither spot gets that much snow compared to a lot of other western resorts--but they are both great towns and worth a trip.


I'm more looking for there to be a good enough amount of snow so that the trees are easy to ski and most hazards are covered, also I don't like the mogul runs when they're icy. Though a powder day would be nice, it's not mainly what i'm seeking out for, so I think I'm gonna stick with Telluride or Aspen.

post #13 of 18
You will have a great time at either resort.

I think Aspen has a slight advantage, mostly due to the preseason trail maintenance. Last week they had the trail crews out in force, weed wacking the lower slopes on Aspen Mt.
I've skied Aspen every Christmas break since 1981 and the vast majority have been good.
post #14 of 18

While anxiety regarding snow cover is understandable, it is unfortunately unavoidable. You can maximize your odds of good snow by looking at the snowfall records and booking your trip accordingly. I don't know what the record says about snowfall at Telluride in February, but suspect that it is similar to the rest of CO and that your odds are good.

 

I'm sure you're aware that there are other places in North America that are snowier and one of these may be a better choice if you are truly anxious about snow cover in Feb. For what's it's worth however, if I were in your shoes, I'd stick with Telluride.

post #15 of 18

Others have summed up the situation well.  For most western resorts February is the overall safest month for the combination of coverage and surface conditions.  For Telluride March is historically best but February is still good.

 

The East is a different situation.  Conditions can be great one week, but then it can rain the next week and skiing will suck. Most easterners live within drive distance of the resorts and thus should not be booking them far in advance. It does not rain in Telluride in the winter, period. 

 

The 5 month ahead forecasts are worthless and should be ignored.

post #16 of 18
Quote:
Originally Posted by CharlieRN View Post
 

 

I'm sure you're aware that there are other places in North America that are snowier and one of these may be a better choice if you are truly anxious about snow cover in Feb. 

 

+1. If you are really anxious about this, don't go to a ski resort that averages ~300' annually. That's just not that much compared to so many other places. To me, the great thing about Telluride and Aspen is that if the skiing isn't that great, I'm in a really interesting spot with a lot of other things to do. At least at the end of the day I'm going to get good food and drink. But it doesn't sound like that's your attitude. FYI when I was in Telluride in Feb 2015 there was so little snow there were rocks even in the groomers. It was a bad snow year, but it was worse there than at other areas.

post #17 of 18

Went to Telluride a couple Febs ago.  There was plenty of coverage but it hadn't snowed in several weeks.  It was warm.  Conditions ranged from suck to OK.  We had a wonderful time and want to go back when conditions are better.  That was a crappy year for most of the west.  Overall you've got a much better chance of good snow out west than back east and sometimes you do have to book in advance.

post #18 of 18
Thread Starter 

Thanks for all the responses. According to what most of you have said, most of the runs I will go on should have decent coverage by february, and that's really all that matters to me. So I've confirmed Telluride, and will book tickets in the next few days.

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