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North American snow watch 2016- snow reports needed! - Page 2

post #31 of 83
Currently on a business trip in S. Idaho / NE Nevada. Raining nicely with temps high 40s/low 50s. Patience.
post #32 of 83
post #33 of 83

Lake Louise reported 30CM last week on September 20th!

 

post #34 of 83
post #35 of 83

Satellite image of snow cover and ice. Some long range meteorologist have correlated fall Siberian snow cover or snow pack to cold winters for the east coast. 

 

post #36 of 83

I think it's pretty safe to say that snow is starting to accumulate here in the Alberta Rockies. Fingers crossed from a first week of November opening!


From Lake Louise and Sunshine Village webcams this morning:

 

CREATOR: gd-jpeg v1.0 (using IJG JPEG v80), quality = 90

 

CREATOR: gd-jpeg v1.0 (using IJG JPEG v80), quality = 90

 

CREATOR: gd-jpeg v1.0 (using IJG JPEG v80), quality = 90

 

MXF

post #37 of 83
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by jack97 View Post
 

Satellite image of snow cover and ice. Some long range meteorologist have correlated fall Siberian snow cover or snow pack to cold winters for the east coast. 

 

 

That's really useful! I was wondering how I'd get data for NWT, Nunavut and Yukon. 

post #38 of 83
Thread Starter 

Well, it looks like all our usual suspects from out west and way up north have reported in now, with the exception of Idaho. I confirmed with the crew at Schweitzer that they have yet to see flakes. But that should be remedied by the system moving through this week! NM and AZ should be reporting in soon, and then it's the east's turn! Loveland and A-bay should be turning on their machines soon... winter is coming, folks. 

post #39 of 83
Quote:
Originally Posted by freeski919 View Post
 

... winter is coming...

 

post #40 of 83
Quote:
Originally Posted by freeski919 View Post
 

 

That's really useful! I was wondering how I'd get data for NWT, Nunavut and Yukon. 

 

here you go...

 

 

 

Here's the link to the site to see the latest, has many scroll down and time series options

 

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/snow-cover/ak/20161002

 

 

Judah Cohen was one of the first to see the Siberian snow cover to colder winters in the east coast. The speculation is the polar jet stream that is causing this early snow cover provides favorable winter ski conditions for the east.

 

The caveat to this is he has been tracking this for a relatively short time ~ 2007, the north Atlantic and Pacific has changed temperature indices recently and there may not be enuf data to show whether this correlation will still happen or which sectors in the east coast will get the snow and cold. 


Edited by jack97 - 10/3/16 at 3:42pm
post #41 of 83
Thread Starter 

 

Well, Idaho finally got on the board!

post #42 of 83
post #43 of 83
Second storm at Whitefish
14595606_10154701741989309_1325777552743819251_n.png.jpg?efg=eyJpIjoibCJ9&oh=10d8cfb4d7a789976fff292b99df8773&oe=58697CD3

The first had melted, as will this one.
post #44 of 83

Grand Targhee looking ridiculously good with 23" reported in last 72 hours:

 

post #45 of 83
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by One21Fifteen View Post
 

Grand Targhee looking ridiculously good with 23" reported in last 72 hours:

 

 

In the words of the great George Takei, "Oh myyyyy..."

post #46 of 83

Yeah, pretty hard not to get stoked seeing that picture of Grand Targhee right now.

post #47 of 83

This is from one of the plots at JH.

 

snowfallGraph.php?type=7&sid=3

 

...and here is a current webcam shot:

rendez.jpg

post #48 of 83

Minnesota and North Dakota have both had snow now.   Minnesota had snow over a bunch of the northern part of the state last night.   Pretty exciting...

post #49 of 83

Colorado Front Range snow down to 8000 feet.

post #50 of 83
Quote:
Originally Posted by jack97 View Post

Satellite image of snow cover and ice. Some long range meteorologist have correlated fall Siberian snow cover or snow pack to cold winters for the east coast. 



So what's the data on that snow pack. The image looks promising, with all that white, but what do I know?
post #51 of 83

Looking at the charts going back 10 years, this October is clearly the best, in a tie with 2013. Anyone remember how 2013-14 worked out in New England?

post #52 of 83
Quote:
Originally Posted by hirustler View Post
 

Looking at the charts going back 10 years, this October is clearly the best, in a tie with 2013. Anyone remember how 2013-14 worked out in New England?


I remember a lot of silly grins right around then.  

 

(Not so much for the west, though.)

post #53 of 83
Quote:
Originally Posted by hirustler View Post
 

Looking at the charts going back 10 years, this October is clearly the best, in a tie with 2013. Anyone remember how 2013-14 worked out in New England?

 

 

Quote:
Originally Posted by lakespapa View Post
 


I remember a lot of silly grins right around then.  

 

(Not so much for the west, though.)

 

 

Here's Judah Cohen's blog site, he initially discovered this correlation. He's a private forecaster, makes lots of plots and images from satellite data to forecast the arctic jet stream in the coming months. The fall snowpack is one of many parameters is is using, figure 5 from his recent blog shows the rate of snow fall in this area. 

 

The pressure zone he shows also gives an idea of where the ridging and blocking will occur. The blob over at the west coast in 13-14 resulted in a zone which blocked a lot of the storms from entering the NW. Last year, the east coast had a weird winter, the ridging for storms and cold temps never lined up.the GFS along with other models totally whiffed. IMO, the SST and AO was something the models could never lock on.

 

http://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation

post #54 of 83
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by focker View Post

Minnesota and North Dakota have both had snow now.   Minnesota had snow over a bunch of the northern part of the state last night.   Pretty exciting...

Thanks, I think that is our first confirmed low altitude snow in the lower 48. I'll update the map as soon as I am in front of a real computer.
post #55 of 83

SNOWFALL WARNING for BANFF/LAKE LOUISE! 20 cms expected tonight! And that's on top of this:

 

 

MXF

 

MXF

post #56 of 83
Quote:
Originally Posted by albertanskigirl View Post
 

SNOWFALL WARNING for BANFF/LAKE LOUISE! 

 

 

 

 

Warning? How 'bout CELEBRATION!

post #57 of 83
Thread Starter 

Here in the east, it begins like it often does. Not from the sky, but from a hose. Killington this morning. 

 

 

post #58 of 83
Quote:
Originally Posted by freeski919 View Post
 

Here in the east, it begins like it often does. Not from the sky, but from a hose. Killington this morning. 

 

 


Yahoo!

post #59 of 83
My deck
14525049_10154508615722488_857683796379579565_o.jpg?efg=eyJpIjoibCJ9
post #60 of 83
Thread Starter 
Snowing in Hyde Park VT. This storm has already brought first snow to New York, Ontario, Vermont, and Massachusetts. New Hampshire and Quebec is expected to get snow too. High peaks are expected to get as much as a foot! That could make this October surprise bigger than any storm we got in the East all last season!

Map updates to come.

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