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Lake Tahoe MLK 2016?

post #1 of 17
Thread Starter 

Hey guys.  I have made this trip before during the same time frame but because of last year I am very skittish about booking any airfare to Reno for Jan 2016.  I know no one can predict whether or not it will snow during our week but now the concern is will there be skiable terrain?!  We had to cancel a trip to Squaw in April 2015 because of lack of snow.  The challenge is airfares from the East Coast are very cheap to Reno right now so I am tempted to pull the trigger.  That being said am I nuts to book a trip to Tahoe in January at this point or should I just wait and roll the dice that prices stay low?  Thanks.

post #2 of 17

Southwest flies into Reno from Boston which gives you some protection.

post #3 of 17
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Maineac View Post

Southwest flies into Reno from Boston which gives you some protection.
We are in NJ so unfortunately Boston is not an option. frown.gif
post #4 of 17

My bad.  Should have looked more closely, just read East Coast.  Still SW flies out of LaGuardia to Reno.

post #5 of 17
If you can get a refundable ticket or one that can be used at another time you may want too

There is massive speculation about the el nino for this season if it hits it could deliver massive amounts of snow by the time you show up

But we really won't know about that until December so everything is really a crap shoot

I would hedge my bets after the last 4 years of lousy snow on this trip
Make sure you can change plans
post #6 of 17

It's always a crap shoot, but you could say that the odds are Tahoe will have a better year... namely in that El Nino is not a guarantee, but on average it does produce better years.

post #7 of 17
Quote:
Originally Posted by JayT View Post

It's always a crap shoot, but you could say that the odds are Tahoe will have a better year... namely in that El Nino is not a guarantee, but on average it does produce better years.

Jay we drive up increasing our odds, the OP does not have that luxury so....

Changeable refundable tickets are in order

And I pray it delivers but flying from NJ I would have a backup plan in case it don't
post #8 of 17

Given that it is way too early to know how much snow the Tahoe area will have, I suggest using historical snowfall measures to determine where to go in Jan.  Tony Crocker's website - http://www.bestsnow.net - can give you all the historical/statistical data to determine where to plan your trip. 

 

For the surest guarantee - book your flights to Alta/Snowbird or to Breckenridge/Vail for MLK weekend and skip the Lake Tahoe area.  Lake Tahoe may be great in Jan but it may not - nobody can say.  The odds are in your favor if you book your flights to SLC or Den.  Unfortunately, flights are more expensive but statistically, the odds will be in your favor.

post #9 of 17
Well you might consider utah last few years i start my early december skiing there and last season met alot of tahoe skiers on the lifts
post #10 of 17
Thread Starter 

Thanks for all the responses.  The reason its alluring to do Tahoe (and I have been there twice the past 9 years during MLK week) is right now I can get round trip tickets for under $250 from the NYC area which is great.  I also have a Mountain Collective Pass so I can do two days in Mammoth and one each at Squaw and Alpine for free.  Plus I can use Starwood points at the Westin Mammoth and stay free for a couple of nights.  All in all would be a pretty cheap trip and I don't mind driving around a bit.

 

I realize I can use Mountain Collective at Alta/Snowbird and stay in Sandy cheap but the airfare is quite a bit higher now.  We've done Steamboat and Aspen/Snowmass the past two MLK weeks and it was nice both areas.

post #11 of 17
Thread Starter 
With airfares still pretty low to Reno I think we're going to go ahead and book for six nights around MLK 2016. With the Mountain Collective it will be 2 days at Mammoth and one each at Squaw and Alpine Meadows. Hopefully El Niño can kick in and prevent a repeat of 2015. Any locals comment on the weather this far this Fall. Has it been colder or wetter than usual so far? Thanks.
post #12 of 17
Warm and dry
But storm coming in with snow tonight

Might want to follow BA over at open snow to keep track of our weather
post #13 of 17
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by near nyquist View Post

Warm and dry
But storm coming in with snow tonight

Might want to follow BA over at open snow to keep track of our weather

Already doing that LOL!  Followed him last winter too and actually felt bad for him having to type out those awful forecasts.

post #14 of 17

MLK will be mid season and a holiday weekend, so you put yourself into the hands of mother nature for fresh snow;  but the resorts should be as open as they'll get.

post #15 of 17
Thread Starter 
Looking good so far...good early season signs! ❄️❄️❄️
post #16 of 17

If you want to keep close tabs on Tahoe, there's a weather and discussion seasonal thread as well.

post #17 of 17
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by JayT View Post

If you want to keep close tabs on Tahoe, there's a weather and discussion seasonal thread as well.
I have it saved! smile.gif
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