or Connect
New Posts  All Forums:Forum Nav:

Snow at Mt, Baker?

post #1 of 11
Thread Starter 
NOAA has been predicting huge snowfall the last few days. Is it happening?
post #2 of 11

I don't know about Baker but Rainier only got dusted it looks like.  I think a lot of the moisture fell as rain.

 

post #3 of 11

Baker below.  Definitely looks like some fresh white.

 

post #4 of 11

The heavy snow reports at Baker is just click bait, to bring in web traffic. Every year it happens. Mt. Baker ski resort is at 5,500 feet... heavy snow reports are for a much higher elevation. It has snowed a bit at the ski resort, but only a small amount. 

post #5 of 11

Yeah, if you're looking at the forecast from the NWS site for Mt. Baker then you will get the forecast for the top of the mountain.  Mt. Baker ski area is not on Mt. Baker and the base is over 5000' below the summit of the mountain.  All the ski area snow report section says today is "closed for the summer."  If it was snowing in any significant way they'd be making a big deal of it.

 

P.S.  No part of Mt. Baker is at 5,500'.  The base at White Salmon is at 3,500', the base at Heather Meadows is at about 4,200', and the top of the lift served area at C8 is just above 5,000'.


Edited by Posaune - 10/24/14 at 4:52pm
post #6 of 11

yeah.... all the early forecasts from this week were taunting us with 30 to 36 inches at Paradise,  Mt Rainer tonight,  heavy snow at Baker.... but so far looks like just a light dusting.  Even so, waxed and tuned the skis last night, got the skins in the backpack ready to go just in case, but mentally prepared for the disappointment.  

post #7 of 11
Thread Starter 

Boy, it's kind of a massive fail when the forecast is for something like fifty or a hundred inches and you get a dusting.  I thought those forecasting debacles only happened here in Jackson Hole.

 

Oh, well.

post #8 of 11
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bob Peters View Post
 

Boy, it's kind of a massive fail when the forecast is for something like fifty or a hundred inches and you get a dusting.  I thought those forecasting debacles only happened here in Jackson Hole.

 

Oh, well.


Not sure where you got that forecast from.  There was no talk about it in these parts.  We had a ton of rain (it ran into our dryer vent and flooded the laundry!) but there was no prediction of snow at ski area levels that I was aware of.  The tops of the volcanoes (Rainier, Glacier Peak, Baker) got hit with a bunch of snow by the looks of the radar during the storm, but on Baker it was the top 1000' where only climbers go.

 

There was snow lower, but it was pretty inconsequential.  However it's kind of pretty this morning looking out at the mountains:

 

post #9 of 11
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Posaune View Post
 


Not sure where you got that forecast from.  There was no talk about it in these parts.  We had a ton of rain (it ran into our dryer vent and flooded the laundry!) but there was no prediction of snow at ski area levels that I was aware of.  The tops of the volcanoes (Rainier, Glacier Peak, Baker) got hit with a bunch of snow by the looks of the radar during the storm, but on Baker it was the top 1000' where only climbers go.

 

There was snow lower, but it was pretty inconsequential.  However it's kind of pretty this morning looking out at the mountains:

 


The forecast I heard was second-hand.  I was in a continuing education classroom most of last week and one of my cohorts at the JH ski school came up and asked if I had heard if Mt. Baker got the 100" of snow that was forecast.  He said he had seen the forecast on the NOAA site a couple days earlier and if you added up the Wed/Thurs/Friday snow forecasts you'd get nearly a hundred inches.  That's when I put up the original post because I couldn't find any recent snowfall numbers on the Mt. Baker site.

 

So then I went to the NOAA site on Friday around noonish (our time) and it had several 12-hour periods over Saturday/Sunday/Monday that were showing snowfall predictions of 9-14".  That made it sound like there was some significant snowfall in your future (or past).

 

Just in general, predictions of big storms are always fun because we think of what they might mean.  The fact that the predictions seldom pan out never seems to keep me from getting excited when the next one gets issued.  Just call me Charlie Brown. 

 

That photo DOES look nice.

post #10 of 11

If you go to the NWS web site and enter in "Mt. Baker" you get the following:

Mt Baker WA

7 Day Forecast

  • Today Snow showers. High near 17. West northwest wind around 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
  • Tonight A 30 percent chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a temperature falling to near 11 by 10pm, then rising to around 17 during the remainder of the night. West northwest wind 8 to 18 mph. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
  • Monday A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 24. South wind 7 to 16 mph. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
  • Monday Night Snow. Low around 13. South wind 16 to 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 19 to 25 inches possible.
  • Tuesday Snow showers. High near 25. South southwest wind 14 to 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 10 to 16 inches possible.
  • Tuesday Night Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 18. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
  • Wednesday A 50 percent chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 26. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.
  • Wednesday Night Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 23.
  • Thursday Snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 28.
  • Thursday Night Snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21.
  • Friday Snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 23.
  • Friday Night A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23.
  • Saturday A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 24.

 

Looks FABULOUS!!  However it's for 10,070 feet of elevation, the top of the mountain.

 

Here is the ski area weather forecast (4264' elevation) from the same source:

 

  • Today Showers. High near 37. Light west southwest wind becoming west northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
  • Tonight A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. West wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
  • Monday A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 36. South southeast wind 6 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
  • Monday Night Rain. Low around 34. Breezy, with a south wind 16 to 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
  • Tuesday Showers. High near 40. South wind 11 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
  • Tuesday Night Showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 38. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
  • Wednesday A 50 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 43.
  • Wednesday Night Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 41.
  • Thursday Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46.
  • Thursday Night Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.
  • Friday Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45.
  • Friday Night A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42.
  • Saturday A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44.

 

Quite a difference.  We have a bit of a wait yet.

post #11 of 11
Thread Starter 

I see what you mean.  That's sort of a night & day difference.

 

Good luck with the season.

New Posts  All Forums:Forum Nav:
  Return Home
  Back to Forum: General Skiing Discussion