"The short, medium and long-range shows well below normal precipitation through the end of January. However, with that said, there are increasing signs that during the last week of January and into February, that retrogression with the upper blocking west coast high and a gradual weakening of the Subtropical Eastern Pac Upper High will occur. This is according to both the new T1534 now operational GFS and latest runs of the ECMWF…32 DAY 51-MEMBER ENSEMBLE CONTROL (EPS) Note: There is no established pattern yet, just retrogression with many of the ensemble members.
PS There is no truth to the rumor that it will be dry through Mid February because the forecast skill for weeks 3 and 4 is no better than about 50/50.
Dr Howard and the Dweebs………………………………..:-)"
Man, if it is dry until mid Feb, there goes my Presidents Day week in Tahoe. Praying for snow.
I think this is good news. I have a good feeling for the end of the month since that is when Ill be in Mammoth