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Where's the powder this weekend 3/26-3/31

post #1 of 9
Thread Starter 

Looking for a best options on skiing nice light dry powder this Wed through Sundayish in the U.S.  Tahoe area looks like it's getting a pretty good dump but not sure what the coverage is like (been 10 years since I've skiid there).  Utah and Colorado look like there going to get a little bit Wed/Thurs.  FYI Favorite place to ski is Alta/Particularly Catherines area when it's dumping.  Flying out of DC airports with 2 teenagers.

 

Thanks for your help.  I'm struggling to find anything.  I'm hoping someone can help.

post #2 of 9

The most consistent delivery this winter has been Jackson Hole, and it looks like that will set up to be good next weekend as well. It looks like the west coast storm cycle is going to bring good precipitation to the PNW and into the northern Rockies in a timeframe corresponding to your trip.  Grand Targhee, Big Sky and Jackson should deliver the lightest snow.  See forecast map here

 

I would not bet on Tahoe as snow elevations could start high and this storm is definitely pushing more to the north.  They will get some snow through Thursday, but the forecast is for ridging to build back in by Friday.  I like your chances in the PNW best, with lighter powder in the Northern Rockies.

post #3 of 9

I just talked with a friend in Jackson this morning.  He said it's pretty hard currently.

 

I think I'd hit either Alta/Bird or some of the higher Colorado resorts.

 

Check Joel's site:

 

https://opensnow.com/

post #4 of 9
Thread Starter 

Cirquerider, thanks for the link, I've struggled a bit with that site.  I really like the fact that opehsnow/Joel makes it idiot proof for people like me.  See past below.

 

I'm thinking of heading into Alta/Bird tomorrow night. Not sure if it's worth the drive to Squaw if the storm pans out midweek and the weekend dump still looks strong.  I'm going to probably have to guess on that tonight with plane tix so I don't have to drive 8 hours back to the airport.  Does anyone know if google maps is close ~8hrs via i80?

 

Shall I stick at Alta or try somewhere else for the upcoming dry Sat/Sun?

 

 
sortsquare.pngtrashicon.png Alta 0" 0" 0" 0" 3-7" 3-5" 3-7" 0-1" 0" 0" computer_icon.png
sortsquare.pngtrashicon.png Snowbird 0" 0" 0" 0" 3-7" 3-5" 3-7" 0-1" 0" 0" computer_icon.png
sortsquare.pngtrashicon.png Powder Mountain 0" 0" 0" 0-1" 3-5" 2-4" 3-5" 0" 0" 0" computer_icon.png
sortsquare.pngtrashicon.png Breckenridge 0-1" 0" 0" 0" 0-1" 3-5" 3-5" 2-4" 0" 0" human_icon.png
sortsquare.pngtrashicon.png Silverton 0" 0" 0" 0" 1-3" 5-8" 3-5" 1-2" 0" 0" human_icon.png
sortsquare.pngtrashicon.png Wolf Creek 0" 0" 0" 0" 1-3" 5-8" 2-4" 0-1" 0" 0" human_icon.png
sortsquare.pngtrashicon.png Grand Targhee 0" 0" 0" 1-3" 1-3" 2-4" 1-2" 1-2" 0" 0" computer_icon.png
sortsquare.pngtrashicon.png Jackson Hole 0" 0" 0" 1-3" 1-3" 2-4" 1-2" 1-2" 1-3" 0" computer_icon.png
sortsquare.pngtrashicon.png Big Sky 0" 0" 0" 0-1" 1-2" 1-2" 1-2" 1-3" 0" 0" computer_icon.png
sortsquare.pngtrashicon.png Squaw Valley 0" 0" 0-1" 4-8" 6-10" 2-4" 1-2" 0" 6-12" 6-12" human_icon.png
sortsquare.pngtrashicon.png Kirkwood 0" 0" 0-1" 4-8" 6-10" 2-4" 1-2" 0" 6-12" 6-12" human_icon.png
sortsquare.pngtrashicon.png Mt Baker 0" 0-1" 2-4" 3-7" 2-4" 1-3" 2-4" 2-4" 0" 0" computer_icon.png
post #5 of 9
You'd be nuts to go to Squaw.
post #6 of 9

Vermont BC we have more snow in march than anywhere else in the nation. Inbounds is packed powder, but for those not riding lifts its the deepest powder you can find in the country even BC touring in Co or utah would be no where near what we have right now.

post #7 of 9
Really? How much snow have you had in March? What's your base?

I ask because one of your sources, onthesnow, shows you getting 67 inches this month compared to our 79. And you having a base of 70 inches compared to our 140 inches.

I see you are saying backcountry, but without data, it's just one of your endless data-less assertions.
Edited by sibhusky - 3/24/14 at 5:07pm
post #8 of 9
Data. Snow depth, Northern Rockies. Note the fuschia. That's deeper than purple.

nsm_depth_2014032405_Northern_Rockies.jpg

Snow depth, Northeast. I'm not seeing fuschia...
nsm_depth_2014032405_Northeast.jpg
post #9 of 9

The Sierra forecast from Opensnow.com is out of step with the very good forecasters at NWS-Reno.  Note the source of that moisture plume is tropical.

 

Quote:
 
.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
AS AN UPPER TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC.

ON FRIDAY, THE EASTERN SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA WILL BE ON THE
PERIPHERY OF A 1-INCH OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER PWAT TAP EXTENDING FROM
NEAR HAWAII TO THE NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COAST. THIS COULD BRING
LIGHT RAIN AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW TO AREAS MAINLY NORTH OF TAHOE
IN NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND OUT INTO FAR NORTHWEST NEVADA, HOWEVER
THE MAIN PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN OVER N-NW CALIFORNIA.

SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER DISTURBANCE IS PROGGED BY MANY
MODEL/ENSEMBLE RUNS TO MOVE INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND OREGON.
THIS IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THE MOISTURE TAP INTO THE SIERRA AND
WESTERN NEVADA. I HAVE RAISED POP AROUND 10-20% MAINLY FOR NORTHEAST
CALIFORNIA BY SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE DECENT AGREEMENT AMONG
GFS/ECMWF SOLUTIONS. THE GEM IS FURTHER NORTH AND WEAKER WITH THE
IMPULSE BUT IT DOES HAVE PRECIP COMMON TO THE GFS/EC ON SATURDAY
NORTH OF LAKE TAHOE. FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST, THERE IS MORE
UNCERTAINTY SO POP WAS NOT RAISED APPRECIABLY. AS FAR AS QPF, THAT
IS ALSO STILL UNCERTAIN GIVEN THE WEAKER GEM AND THE FACT THAT THE
12Z EC HAS LESS THAN HALF THE QPF OF THE GFS. SNOW LEVELS SHOULD
FALL DOWN TO NEAR OR BELOW 5000 FEET TOWARDS THE END OF PRECIPITATION
EVENT PER THE GFS/EC BUT REMAIN MUCH HIGHER IF THE GEM VERIFIES.

AFTER SATURDAY NIGHT, THE REGION IS PROGGED TO BE IN A LULL PERIOD
UNTIL THE NEXT DISTURBANCE WORKS AROUND THE PACIFIC TROUGH AROUND
MONDAY. STILL, LINGERING SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTHERN SIERRA AND OUT INTO NEVADA NORTH OF PYRAMID LAKE.
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