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2013 snow prediction (wooly bear division)

post #1 of 9
Thread Starter 
Only wooly bear caterpillar I've seen this fall was all brown, no black ends at all. Bad sign for the East.
post #2 of 9

The few I saw before heading south were a lot of brown, but a reasonable degree of black at the ends. 

post #3 of 9

Lots of brown, little snow, so they say.  The one I saw with a narrow brown band was dead.

post #4 of 9

Have seen:

One all brown

One all black

One 1/3 brown 2/3 black

One getting on the bus headed for Florida

post #5 of 9

Is there a decent historic statistical correlation between the caterpillars and winters? (Better than random?)

post #6 of 9

Regardless of what the caterpillars are saying, most weathermen are saying this is going to be a good hard winter.  I know I'm changing tracks completely but the El nina and El nino patterns are in line with heavy snow winters in the past.  Hopefully they are right because last year sucked

post #7 of 9
post #8 of 9

The latest models are showing that the El Nino may be very weak or even non existent during the NA winter.

Wondering if this will change what the forecasts are saying, specially for PNW and BC.

post #9 of 9

After a very long dry summer and fall, it started raining this past weekend in the PNW.  It's supposed to continue, and the temperature will drop Tuesday night and maybe drop some snow at Stevens Pass, then warms up again and rains for a few days, then cools again next weekend and starts accumulating snow.   We usually open in med-later November, so with any luck we'll be skiing by Thanksgiving as usual.  I hope this is a good sign.

 

Not that I'm paying attention or anything......

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