It's almost August and time for the first long-range outlooks to be posted. (don't ask why, it just is)
Looks to be something of a reversal from last year as we start to move into a mile El Nino ENSO pattern. For my neck of the woods that means once again the Sierra falls between the higher probability of precipitation and temperature departures from normal. The big news is the PNW appears to be looking at a dryer, warmer year, while the southwest may see improved odds of better precipitation. The Midwest, Mid Atlantic and New England skiers will not like the temperature forecasts, but things look especially bad for the Great Lakes region.
The critical November, December, January predictions are what I think count here...Source: Climate Prediction Center
PRECIPITATION NOV, DEC, JAN
TEMPERATURE NOV, DEC, JAN