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how sweet is this? (yeah you want to look, its snow related and its a stoke)

post #1 of 42
1/17/12 at 3:47pm
Thread Starter 

 

WCI8.JPG


Edited by Finndog - 1/17/12 at 4:20pm
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post #2 of 42
1/17/12 at 4:03pm

Bummer it didn't make it to Mammoth.frown.gif

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post #3 of 42
1/17/12 at 4:10pm

Waiting in Big Sky. Since we already have good cover we're only asking for powder instead of existing packed powder and a few stashes. ZERO lift lines and cool temps = powders stashes for days after even a small snowfall.

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post #4 of 42
1/17/12 at 4:14pm
Thread Starter 

not sure who's going to end up getting the jackpot on this monster but its looking pretty dam good for Tahoe across to Co.  

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post #5 of 42
1/17/12 at 5:09pm


 

Quote:
Originally Posted by Finndog View Post

not sure who's going to end up getting the jackpot on this monster but its looking pretty dam good for Tahoe across to Co.  


Unfortunately our nemesis this year of another brutal windstorm (forecasts of 100 knot mountaintop winds) will accompany the next couple of days of snow in many places.

 

The mountain layer stability required to generate this kind of wind tends to suppress heavy snow not to mention blowing it into Nebraska.  There are hundreds of trees down near timberline at Winter Park, which is likely to keep terrain closed for the season, and WP hasn't seen the worst of the winds this year in CO.

 

This is bad news for the bowls and we are going to be banking on recovery from the potential 'big' storm Sun/Mon even as seasonal totals increase.

 

 

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post #6 of 42
1/17/12 at 5:10pm

Mt Hood reports 30inches in last 24hours... so far so good :)

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post #7 of 42
1/17/12 at 5:28pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by NayBreak View Post

Unfortunately our nemesis this year of another brutal windstorm (forecasts of 100 knot mountaintop winds) will accompany the next couple of days of snow in many places.

 

The mountain layer stability required to generate this kind of wind tends to suppress heavy snow not to mention blowing it into Nebraska.  There are hundreds of trees down near timberline at Winter Park, which is likely to keep terrain closed for the season, and WP hasn't seen the worst of the winds this year in CO.

 

This is bad news for the bowls and we are going to be banking on recovery from the potential 'big' storm Sun/Mon even as seasonal totals increase.

Totally unfair and downright wrong!

If we were talking about the northeast, it would be normal.

That is not supposed to be Colorado!

 

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post #8 of 42
1/17/12 at 5:35pm
Thread Starter 

winds are going to be a factor but the snowfall is supposed to be pretty heavy regardless.  Latest weather discussion on NOAA for Steamboat discusses the possibility of upgrading warning to a blizzard.  the storm due in this weekend is still a bit of a wait and see. Storm for tomorrow and thursday doesn't look that significant with just 3-6" predicted I think. However, JH is expecting 3 plus feet through friday.  THe big question of course is how much for Tahoe.....  they need feet

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post #9 of 42
1/17/12 at 5:55pm

I think parts of Utah are expecting close to five feet by the weekend.  I just hope all this snow isn't followed by a rash of avalanche related fatalities.

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post #10 of 42
1/17/12 at 8:00pm

We have snow in the forecast every day through Monday.  According to NOAA we might get about 12" in Billings, so possibly 18-24" at Red Lodge.  I'm heading up on Thursday to try out a pair of Prophet 90's in whatever new snow there is.snowfalling.gifyahoo.gif

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post #11 of 42
1/17/12 at 8:36pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by mtcyclist View Post

We have snow in the forecast every day through Monday.  According to NOAA we might get about 12" in Billings, so possibly 18-24" at Red Lodge.  I'm heading up on Thursday to try out a pair of Prophet 90's in whatever new snow there is.snowfalling.gifyahoo.gif



 



Quote:
Originally Posted by Finndog View Post

winds are going to be a factor but the snowfall is supposed to be pretty heavy regardless.  Latest weather discussion on NOAA for Steamboat discusses the possibility of upgrading warning to a blizzard.  the storm due in this weekend is still a bit of a wait and see. Storm for tomorrow and thursday doesn't look that significant with just 3-6" predicted I think. However, JH is expecting 3 plus feet through friday.  


If that storm doesnt reach this end of Wyo I may Join Mr. Cash and Head to Jackson, or Montana.

Weve got a chance every day untill Monday, but also a chance of rain in there at lower elevations (I thought Wyoming was in the west?) If the weather doesn't turn around fast and hard were headed for an early closing.

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post #12 of 42
1/17/12 at 8:36pm


 

Quote:
Originally Posted by Finndog View Post

winds are going to be a factor but the snowfall is supposed to be pretty heavy regardless.  Latest weather discussion on NOAA for Steamboat discusses the possibility of upgrading warning to a blizzard. 


Unfortunately, the upgrade would be from a high wind warning, not a winter storm warning.  Blizzard warnings can be about sustained wind with relatively low snow totals, especially if there is snowpack to move around.

 

But as you point out, what is happening here looks really good in others places.

 

 

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post #13 of 42
1/17/12 at 8:51pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by Finndog View Post

not sure who's going to end up getting the jackpot on this monster but its looking pretty dam good for Tahoe across to Co.  


Looking at the jet stream, the southern system and my vast depth of understanding wishful meteorological patterns, both systems will converge in the San Juans.rolleyes.gif

 

....sure is nice to see a change in the prevailing weather pattern. I hope everyone gets some from coast to coast!

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post #14 of 42
1/17/12 at 9:07pm

I skied knee deep blower pow the past 2 days.  Visibility was less than 30 meters, but at least there was nobody on the hill!  Winter is back. 

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post #15 of 42
1/17/12 at 10:21pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by cstreu1026 View Post

I think parts of Utah are expecting close to five feet by the weekend.  I just hope all this snow isn't followed by a rash of avalanche related fatalities.



 

I may be one of these fatalities :/

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post #16 of 42
1/17/12 at 10:23pm

Hoodoo has been epic this week!  So far this storm has been unbelievable.  Haven't skied in snow like this in too long.  However, the second half of this storm isn't a jackpot, its a nightmare.  If that thing hits the oregon cascades were looking at rain (and a lot of it) in the passes.  All that dry snow going to waste... ahhhhh

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post #17 of 42
1/17/12 at 10:29pm

30+ inches at Fernie last night, seems to be looking good!

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post #18 of 42
1/17/12 at 10:43pm

 

Schweitzer got 14" last night and today, with another 3-5" expected tomorrow!

I know where I'll be the rest of the week!

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post #19 of 42
1/18/12 at 3:47am
Thread Starter 


yeah, I hear ya' and agree with what you are saying. I am just trying to look at the possible good.  

Quote:
Originally Posted by NayBreak View Post


 


Unfortunately, the upgrade would be from a high wind warning, not a winter storm warning.  Blizzard warnings can be about sustained wind with relatively low snow totals, especially if there is snowpack to move around.

 

But as you point out, what is happening here looks really good in others places.

 

 



 

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post #20 of 42
1/18/12 at 3:52am
Thread Starter 

this is for Steamboat CWA. as pointed out correctly by  Naybreak,  in all likelihood the lifts will be closed for the next couple of days due to high winds but we just got a foot and another foot (with another storm for sunday) will go a long way to recovery.  My wife is traveling in Atlanta this week and overheard some folks who were headed to Tahoe this weekend already complaining about no snow... I think they are going to be surprised (although they may not ski after all biggrin.gif)

 

 

SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 16 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY
  MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
  THE PARK RANGE.
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post #21 of 42
1/18/12 at 6:51am

As of this morning Mammoth may get about 1.5 feet through Sunday.  I sure hope UT gets at least double that for my trip on the 26th.  Looking at the UT resort websites was kind of depressing yesterday.  Please Ullr, bring the goods to the West.

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post #22 of 42
1/18/12 at 8:12am

Not that I've looked to extensively but all the forecasts I see for the Sierra shows Snow Levels about halfway up the mountains.  7800-8100 feet snow level.

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post #23 of 42
1/18/12 at 8:36am

How weird is this? A red flag fire weather warning:

 

 

Quote:http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=sto&wwa=red flag warning

(bold added)

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
608 AM PST WED JAN 18 2012

...VERY DRY WITH GUSTY WINDS NEAR THE SIERRA TODAY...

.A VERY DRY AIR MASS HAS MOVED INTO EASTERN CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN
NEVADA NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERESTATE 80 THIS MORNING. WHILE CLOUD
COVER WILL BE PLENTIFIUL...THE MOISTURE WILL BE CONFINED ABOVE
RIDGE TOP LEVEL. THEREFORE...THE DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN DURING THE DAY. WITH AN INCREASE IN WINDS THIS MORNING...
CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LAST INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

CAZ272-273-NVZ450-190215-
/O.NEW.KREV.FW.W.0002.120118T1500Z-120119T0600Z/
GREATER LAKE TAHOE AREA-MONO-EASTERN ALPINE COUNTIES-
WESTERN NEVADA SIERRA FRONT-
608 AM PST WED JAN 18 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR MONO COUNTY...EASTERN ALPINE
COUNTY...THE TAHOE BASIN AND THE WESTERN NEVADA SIERRA FRONT DUE
TO GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RENO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR GUSTY WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE ZONE 272 GREATER LAKE TAHOE AREA...FIRE
  ZONE 273 MONO-EASTERN ALPINE COUNTIES AND FIRE ZONE 450
  WESTERN NEVADA SIERRA FRONT.

* WINDS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.
  LOCAL GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN WIND PRONE AREAS SUCH AS
  LITTLE VALLEY AND GALENA.

* RIDGE WINDS...WEST 50 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 110 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...4 TO 14 PERCENT. HUMIDITY MAY BRIEFLY RISE IN THE
  AFTERNOON TO 20 PERCENT BEFORE FALLING AGAIN THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL
  CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL OCCUR.  CONTINUE TO CHECK WEATHER.GOV/RENO FOR UPDATES.

&&

$$

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO

 

Here's the forecast for Squaw area:

 

 

 

Quote: http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=39.21310328979648&lon=-120.26046752929687&site=rev&unit=0&lg=en&FcstType=text

Today: A 20 percent chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 33. Windy, with a southwest wind around 35 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph.

Tonight: Snow likely, mainly after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 30. Windy, with a southwest wind between 25 and 30 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Thursday: Snow. High near 40. Windy, with a southwest wind between 30 and 35 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible.

Thursday Night: Snow. Low around 30. Windy, with a southwest wind between 30 and 35 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.

Friday: Rain and snow, becoming all rain after 10am. Snow level 7600 feet. High near 41. Windy, with a southwest wind around 30 mph, with gusts as high as 50 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

Friday Night: Snow. Low around 30. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 10 to 16 inches possible.

Saturday: Snow showers likely. Cloudy and windy, with a high near 35. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Saturday Night: Snow. Cloudy and windy, with a low around 22.

Sunday: Snow. Cloudy and breezy, with a high near 31.
 

 

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post #24 of 42
1/18/12 at 1:01pm
Thread Starter 

UPDATED STEAMBOAT

 

.STRONG GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE MOUNTAINS INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...DEEP PACIFIC MOISTURE FROM OFF THE
OREGON COAST WILL SPREAD INTO THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN COLORADO
STARTING THIS EVENING. SNOWFALL WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT
AND AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW AND STRONGEST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF RABBIT EARS PASS. ANOTHER ROUND OF
SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND.

COZ004-190245-
/O.CON.KGJT.WS.W.0002.120119T0100Z-120120T1600Z/
ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBINE...TOPONAS
1135 AM MST WED JAN 18 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 9 AM MST FRIDAY...

* TIMING...6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM MST FRIDAY. THE PRIME SNOW
  ACCUMULATION PERIODS ARE EXPECTED TO BE TONIGHT AND THEN THURSDAY
  NIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 TO 16 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY
  MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
  THE PARK RANGE.

* WINDS...WEST WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 80 MPH
  ABOVE 10000 FEET WILL DIMINISH SOMEWHAT LATE TONIGHT AND
  THURSDAY. SNOW DRIFTS UP TO 4 FEET DEEP ARE POSSIBLE.

* VISIBILITY...LESS THAN ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW AND
  BLOWING SNOW.

 

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post #25 of 42
1/18/12 at 2:20pm

Zone 34...Colorado North Central resorts...is now under blizzard warning, but with forecast totals in this first round of 2-7".  In other words....wind...scouring of exposed areas, deposits in protected areas.

 

Steamboat probably does the best in the state in this type of event.  It looks better towards next week if the pattern can get a bit of amplitude.

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post #26 of 42
1/18/12 at 3:36pm

It's on here in Utah- snowing heavily in Park City and up to three feet or more expected at PC resorts by Friday. Same with the Cottonwoods. 

 

P.S. I know it's probably bad luck (as if I had that power) but totaling the high figures from the NWS report for Alta, and knowing that they routinely underestimate expected & reported snowfall (unlike  everywhere else) we've got a possible 53" here.


Edited by Mr. Crab - 1/18/12 at 3:48pm
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post #27 of 42
1/18/12 at 4:15pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. Crab View Post

It's on here in Utah- snowing heavily in Park City and up to three feet or more expected at PC resorts by Friday. Same with the Cottonwoods. 

 

P.S. I know it's probably bad luck (as if I had that power) but totaling the high figures from the NWS report for Alta, and knowing that they routinely underestimate expected & reported snowfall (unlike  everywhere else) we've got a possible 53" here.



I did the same and came up with 61" for Pow Mow.

 

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post #28 of 42
1/18/12 at 6:09pm

ya i was looking at pow mow and was wow! it could have just came in time for our trip next weekend. Hopefully this storm system continues and people and the patrol can make the skiing safe.

 

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post #29 of 42
1/19/12 at 8:24am

Long overdue.  Ullr rules. 

 

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post #30 of 42
1/19/12 at 10:01am

This thing shut the Bachelor down today: 55'' in 72h and counting. 

 

http://www.mtbachelor.com/winter/mountain/snow_report

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