or Connect
EpicSki › The Barking Bear Forums › On the Snow (Skiing Forums) › General Skiing Discussion › Looking promising for the PNW
New Posts  All Forums:Forum Nav:

Looking promising for the PNW

post #1 of 45
Thread Starter 
post #2 of 45

I like seeing these bulletins:

 

make_img.php?wfo=otx&iname=Active_Screen1L&size=1&force=no

post #3 of 45
Thread Starter 
post #4 of 45

Long way to go before the weekend still.  I'll remain cautiously optimistic.  <crosses fingers>

post #5 of 45
Thread Starter 

hmmmmm.  yep. 

post #6 of 45

I prefer the term "promise" instead of the NWS' use of the word "threat" of snow. But it does look promising...

post #7 of 45

Only more rain would be worse. C'mon snow! 

Full selection of 2014 skis available right now from Dawgcatching.com.  PM for current deals and discount codes: save up to 25% on mid-season deals. 

Reply
post #8 of 45

I just don't see that High Pressure going away. Sure will get some snow fall but as for big dumps,not this month.frown.gif popcorn.gif

post #9 of 45

4-8 FEET predicted for Lookout Pass next week.

 

 

post #10 of 45
Thread Starter 
post #11 of 45

Mt. Baker forecast as of today:

 

 

Today


Snow Chance for Measurable Precipitation 100%
Snow

Hi 26 °FFalling Temperatures

Tonight

Snow Chance for Measurable Precipitation 90%
Snow

Lo 14 °F
Sunday

Snow Chance for Measurable Precipitation 90%
Snow

Hi 17 °F
Sunday
Night

Snow Likely Chance for Measurable Precipitation 60%
Snow
Likely
Lo 10 °F
M.L.King
Day

Snow Likely Chance for Measurable Precipitation 70%
Snow
Likely
Hi 15 °F
Monday
Night

Snow Likely Chance for Measurable Precipitation 70%
Snow
Likely
Lo 13 °F
Tuesday

Snow Likely Chance for Measurable Precipitation 70%
Snow
Likely
Hi 18 °F
Tuesday
Night

Snow Likely
Snow
Likely
Lo 13 °F
Wednesday

Snow Likely
Snow
Likely
Hi 24 °F

 

And snowing at Stevens Pass with a similar forecast.

Web Cam Image

post #12 of 45

Yes, like the forecast.  Finally.   You have more skiers in  the lodge (looking at ski racks) than we have on a busy day.

post #13 of 45

do you believe in miracles. YES!

post #14 of 45
Thread Starter 
post #15 of 45

Was able to ski Baker the last two days, at the tail end of a business trip to Seattle.  17" of powder (unusually dry for the PNW) during the last 24 hours!   I have a Local EpicPass for Colorado this year...but I'm heading back to Baker in a few weeks if this big Low Pressure trough continues to track into the North Cascades.      

 

There was even snow in many lowland communities this afternoon on the Puget Sound. 

 

 

post #16 of 45
Thread Starter 

 

 

NWS Seattle, WA

 Point Forecast: 5 Miles NNE Chinook Pass WA
 46.92°N 121.49°W (Elev. 5524 ft)

Mobile Weather Information | En Español
Last Update: 10:47 am PST Jan 16, 2012
Forecast Valid: 1pm PST Jan 16, 2012-6pm PST Jan 22, 2012
   
Forecast at a Glance
M.L.King
Day

Heavy Snow Chance for Measurable Precipitation 80%
Heavy
Snow
Hi 12 °F
Tonight

Snow Chance for Measurable Precipitation 90%
Snow

Lo 10 °F
Tuesday

Snow Chance for Measurable Precipitation 90%
Snow

Hi 12 °F
Tuesday
Night

Snow Chance for Measurable Precipitation 100%
Snow

Lo 3 °F
Wednesday

Heavy Snow Chance for Measurable Precipitation 100%
Heavy
Snow
Hi 23 °F
Wednesday
Night

Snow Chance for Measurable Precipitation 100%
Snow

Lo 23 °F
Thursday

Snow Chance for Measurable Precipitation 100%
Snow

Hi 32 °F
Thursday
Night

Snow
Snow

Lo 24 °F
Friday

Snow
Snow

Hi 31 °F

 

 

 

Oh my!!!! smile.gif          

 

M.L.King Day: Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 12. Southwest wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible. 


Tonight: Snow showers. Low around 10. Breezy, with a west wind between 23 and 28 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible. 

Tuesday: Snow showers. High near 12. Breezy, with a west wind 23 to 26 mph decreasing to between 15 and 18 mph. Winds could gust as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible. 

Tuesday Night: Snow. Low around 3. West southwest wind 18 to 21 mph decreasing to between 8 and 11 mph. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible. 

Wednesday: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 23. South wind between 10 and 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 14 to 20 inches possible. 

Wednesday Night: Snow. Low around 23. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. 

Thursday: Snow. High near 32. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. 

post #17 of 45

It'll be interesting to see if this storm track holds as forecasted.  NWS is currently forecasting up to 4 feet in 24 hours on Wednesday and Wednesday night, for Stevens Pass.  eek.gif

post #18 of 45
Quote:
Originally Posted by jaobrien6 View Post

It'll be interesting to see if this storm track holds as forecasted.  NWS is currently forecasting up to 4 feet in 24 hours on Wednesday and Wednesday night, for Stevens Pass.  eek.gif



Noooooo. Now that's too much powder I won't be able to see my skis.

post #19 of 45

Quote:

Originally Posted by slider View Post



Noooooo. Now that's too much powder I won't be able to see my skis.

Maybe you need lights on them. wink.gif
 

 

post #20 of 45

English translation of the following graphs: Ullr has had a few too many horns of ale, gone berserker and is heading for the Cascades and environs...

 

Screen Shot 2012-01-16 at 8.00.15 PM.png

 

Screen Shot 2012-01-16 at 8.01.03 PM.png

 

Screen Shot 2012-01-16 at 8.01.46 PM.png

 

I don't know how it'll play out, but I don't recall ever seeing anything like this sequence. It is nuts. It also may portend serious lowland issues.

post #21 of 45

The big big task is going to be getting to the goods.  That much snow all at once makes for huge transportation problems and avalanche nightmares. 

post #22 of 45

Never mind the PNW, the northern resorts of the B.C. interior just got dumped on this past weekend. Revelstoke got 40cm Saturday during the day and overnight. Sun Peaks reported 30cm (1 foot) Saturday night, but it was close to 50cm in most of the Alpine.

 

I'm pretty sure that yesterday, (Sunday), I set a new personal record for face shots in a single day of skiing, even collecting some at 2 in the afternoon. Skied a lot of knee deep and some thigh deep in bounds and waist deep in the side country. And of course it was the near perfect light dry powder that Sun Peaks is famous for.

post #23 of 45
Quote:
Originally Posted by spindrift View Post

English translation of the following graphs: Ullr has had a few too many horns of ale, gone berserker and is heading for the Cascades and environs...

 

Screen Shot 2012-01-16 at 8.00.15 PM.png

 

Screen Shot 2012-01-16 at 8.01.03 PM.png

 

Screen Shot 2012-01-16 at 8.01.46 PM.png

 

I don't know how it'll play out, but I don't recall ever seeing anything like this sequence. It is nuts. It also may portend serious lowland issues.

 

 

It says "6Hr Snow Amount (in)" so doesn't this mean that its 4 inches not 4 feet? Or am I reading the graph wrong?

 

post #24 of 45
Thread Starter 

From Larry's Powder report:

 

Seattle and Puget Sound lowlands will also see major snow, perhaps the biggest  in 15-25 years (1996 or 1985). Tuesday night to Wednesday night 8-16" possible(Seattle) - maybe more - in the lowlands!  

 

 

post #25 of 45

Been snowing over here for 2 days now.  Looking better each hour.  We had about 3 hrs Sun at Silver where it was dumping.  S7's come out on Wed.

post #26 of 45

For Mt. Baker from NWS.  Totals by Friday estimated between 57 and 87 inches.  Stevens Pass is similar.

 

Today: Snow showers. High near 20. West wind between 7 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. 

Tonight: Snow. Low around 9. West wind around 8 mph becoming south. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. 

Wednesday: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 14. East wind around 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 10 to 14 inches possible. 

Wednesday Night: Snow. Low around 11. South wind between 6 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 22 to 28 inches possible. 

Thursday: Snow. High near 26. South southwest wind 7 to 9 mph becoming northwest. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible. 

Thursday Night: Snow. Low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. 

Friday: Snow. High near 29. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. 

post #27 of 45
Quote:
Originally Posted by Posaune View Post

For Mt. Baker from NWS.  Totals by Friday estimated between 57 and 87 inches.  Stevens Pass is similar.

 

Today: Snow showers. High near 20. West wind between 7 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. 

Tonight: Snow. Low around 9. West wind around 8 mph becoming south. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. 

Wednesday: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 14. East wind around 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 10 to 14 inches possible. 

Wednesday Night: Snow. Low around 11. South wind between 6 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 22 to 28 inches possible. 

Thursday: Snow. High near 26. South southwest wind 7 to 9 mph becoming northwest. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible. 

Thursday Night: Snow. Low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. 

Friday: Snow. High near 29. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. 


Within an hour of posting the above, the forecast has changed dramatically.  While we'll still get some nice totals, there is nothing epic about the new one:

 

Today: Snow showers. High near 20. West wind between 6 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. 

Tonight: Snow, mainly after 4am. Low around 10. West wind between 6 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. 

Wednesday: Snow. High near 14. East southeast wind around 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. 

Wednesday Night: Snow. Low around 11. South southeast wind between 9 and 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. 

Thursday: Snow. High near 22. South southwest wind between 6 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. 

Thursday Night: Snow. Low around 17. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. 

Friday: Snow. High near 29. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. 

 

The good news is that it'll be a lot easier to get to the mountain and avalanche dangers will be much lower.

 

post #28 of 45

Wow, that is quite a contrast in forecasts. 

Just looking at Wednesday Night/Thursday, it went from almost 3 - 4 FEET  down to 3 - 7 INCHES in 1 forecast cycle.

post #29 of 45
Quote:
Originally Posted by NeedToSki View Post

Wow, that is quite a contrast in forecasts. 

Just looking at Wednesday Night/Thursday, it went from almost 3 - 4 FEET  down to 3 - 7 INCHES in 1 forecast cycle.


Apparently this is because of the local "convergence zone."  This is a weather pattern caused by moisture flowing in from the Pacific Ocean and wrapping around the Olympic Mountains.  When this pattern is in effect the two arms of moist air converge in a spot over the Seattle area somewhere (usually the northern and eastern suburbs) and dump large amounts of precipitation, often snow.  This seems to be ready to happen, but Mt. Baker is too far north to get any of it.  Stevens Pass, on the other hand, is going to get puked on.  The forecast below is the current one for Stevens, much different than Baker.

 

Today: Snow showers. High near 20. West wind between 15 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. 

Tonight: Snow. Low around 13. Wind chill values as low as -3. West wind between 9 and 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. 

Wednesday: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Temperature falling to around 10 by 5pm. Wind chill values as low as -5. Southwest wind 9 to 13 mph becoming east. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 13 to 19 inches possible. 

Wednesday Night: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 8. Wind chill values as low as -8. East wind 8 to 13 mph becoming west. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible. 

Thursday: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 26. West wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. 

Thursday Night: Snow. Low around 21. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. 

Friday: Snow. High near 31. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. 

 

post #30 of 45

All good in the Hood. Night skiing tonight, and taking Thursday off.

noaa.JPG

New Posts  All Forums:Forum Nav:
  Return Home
  Back to Forum: General Skiing Discussion
EpicSki › The Barking Bear Forums › On the Snow (Skiing Forums) › General Skiing Discussion › Looking promising for the PNW