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SLC 1-31/2-5. Should I be worried? - Page 5

post #121 of 131

Now booked for Feb 6-12.

post #122 of 131

 

Quote:

Yeah? I'm hanging on every word. Where? Is that just for the Cottonwoods, or for Colo. too?

Unfortunately for the current situation, the rule of thumb is that Colorado gets consistent moderate snowfalls rather than the multiple feet that are more frequent in Utah and Colorado.  So the odds favor a gradual recovery in I-70 Colorado over the next month or so.  The good news is that region needs about 3 feet of snow to get most terrain open from where it sits now while the Sierra needs twice that as it's starting from essentially zero natural base.

 

With regard to the Sierra, the major storm is still about a week out, which leaves quite a bit of uncertainty.  From models I've seen there is also uncertainty regarding how high the rain/snow line will be during that storm.  So I think we need to wait and see what happens next weekend before making any decisions there.

 

From what I read the odds on Utah (at least the Cottonwoods) coming out of this in decent shape are pretty good. Perhaps Jackson too.

post #123 of 131
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tony Crocker View Post

 

Unfortunately for the current situation, the rule of thumb is that Colorado gets consistent moderate snowfalls rather than the multiple feet that are more frequent in Utah and Colorado California. 


Fixed it for ya'

 

 

post #124 of 131

Forecast models already moving this late weekend event much further south into South Texas.  May change nothing for Tahoe and eliminate a big storm for CO.

 

The pattern as Tony says favors a number of small events in CO rather than a blockbuster....but this will be good for us as we need consistency.

post #125 of 131

12" at Wolf Creek.  18" at Silverton.  Might the drought be over?

post #126 of 131

please please don't miss utah

 

post #127 of 131


 

Quote:
Originally Posted by rbosworth View Post

12" at Wolf Creek.  18" at Silverton.  Might the drought be over?


3rd straight storm at Winter Park that has doubled forecast totals or more - close to 2 feet in the last 10 days.  

 

Unfortunately, we are getting yet another big wind storm on its heels....

 

 


Edited by NayBreak - 1/16/12 at 8:39pm
post #128 of 131

I ain't saying peep...  


 

 

post #129 of 131

Well I will:

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 3 PM MST FRIDAY.

* AFFECTED AREA: THE WASATCH AND WESTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 3 FT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH
  LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* TIMING: SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY
  AFTERNOON...BECOMING HEAVY WEDNESDAY EVENING. A CONTINUED MOIST
  WESTERLY FLOW WILL ALLOW PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW TO CONTINUE
  THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

* WINDS: STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY...WITH GUSTS
  IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH ALONG EXPOSED RIDGELINES. STRONG WINDS WILL
  CONTINUE AT TIMES THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS: VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL AND STRONG WINDS WILL IMPACT THE
  MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN UTAH...MAKING TRAVEL VERY DIFFICULT. WHITE
  OUT CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
  DUE TO A COMBINATION OF HIGH SNOWFALL RATES AND AREAS OF BLOWING
  AND DRIFTING SNOW. AVALANCHE DANGER WILL ALSO INCREASE DUE TO
  THESE WINTER STORM CONDITIONS.

 

Here is the local forecast for the Mt. Ogden area:

 

Wednesday: Snow. High near 18. Wind chill values as low as -4. Southwest wind between 13 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 14 to 20 inches possible.

Wednesday Night: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Temperature rising to around 20 by 8pm. Southwest wind between 18 and 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 18 to 24 inches possible.

Thursday: Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 21. Windy, with a west southwest wind 20 to 23 mph increasing to between 29 and 32 mph. Winds could gust as high as 46 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 14 to 20 inches possible.

Thursday Night: Snow. Low around 21. Windy, with a southwest wind between 21 and 31 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 10 to 14 inches possible.

Friday: Snow likely. Cloudy and breezy, with a high near 24. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.

 

 

Looks like the perfect storm to me with warmer temps in the lower elevations.  The current snowpack (what little is there is), is like sugar & very weak.  Ideally the first wave will clean out all current avalanche paths & start to stabilize things by next week as more storms roll in.

 

I don't want to jinx anything, but this looks good :)

 

JF

post #130 of 131

No.  Don't worry.

post #131 of 131

Goin 1/27-2/1!!!  So stoked

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